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Current Win Probability
Swansea City 49.4%
Draw 27.3%
Stoke City 23.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
45.8%
28.6%
25.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.5%
27.6%
24.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Swansea City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
Stoke City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
65.2%
4.3%
30.4%
Swansea City - Stoke City Predictions
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Swansea will win (votes: 15 - 65.2%). Stoke will win (votes: 7 - 30.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Swansea: 45.7% โ 84.7%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Swansea City will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) ๐ฅ Gold Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Vigouroux L. (G) 2. Key J. 5. Cabango B. (C) 15. Burgess C. 14. Tymon J. 30. Galbraith E. 6. Stamenic M. 35. Ronald 17. Franco G. 10. Eom J. 9. Vipotnik Z.
25. Simkin T. (G) 16. Wilmot B. (C) 26. Phillips A. 23. Gibson B. 17. Bocat E. 15. N'Zonzi S. 12. Seko T. 21. Rak-Sakyi J. 10. Bae J. 7. Thomas S. 29. Cisse L.
Substitutes
31. Cooper O. 20. Cullen L. 1. Fisher A. (G) 4. Fulton J. 18. Gustavo Nunes 21. Walta L. 25. Ward J. 7. Widell M. 8. Yalcouye M.
34. Fielding F. (G) 59. Kelly G. 42. Manhoef M. 54. Otegbayo R. 4. Pearson B. 19. Rigo T. 49. Smit M. 40. Talovierov M. 22. Tchamadeu J.
Coaches
Emanuel Soares Matos V.
Robins M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Thomas S. 🟨,
30', Cisse L. 🟨,
34', Ronald 🟨,
36', Thomas S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', 1 - 0, Vipotnik Z. ⚽, Tymon J. (A),
54', Cisse L. ↓, Smit M. ↑,
54', Rak-Sakyi J. ↓, Manhoef M. ↑,
66', Ronald ↓, Gustavo Nunes ↑,
67', Franco G. 🟨,
70', Bocat E. ↓, Tchamadeu J. ↑,
75', Wilmot B. ↓, Talovierov M. ↑,
79', Talovierov M. 🟨,
80', Eom J. ↓, Cullen L. ↑,
81', Galbraith E. ↓, Widell M. ↑,
81', Stamenic M. ↓, Fulton J. ↑,
85', Tchamadeu J. 🟨,
90', Franco G. ↓, Ward J. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 0, Cullen L. ⚽,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 16 and 14).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swansea won 1.
In recent matches, Swansea has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Stoke has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Swansea will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Swansea: Idah A.
(Groin Injury)
Inoussa Z.
(Injury)
There will not play in Stoke: Ampah A.
(Injury)
Baker L.
(Inactive)
Bazunu G.
(Thigh Injury)
Bozenik R.
(Shoulder Injury)
Cresswell A.
(Calf Injury)
Gallagher S.
(Hamstring Injury)
Johansson V.
(Shoulder Injury)
Lawal B.
(Inactive)
Mubama D.
(Ankle Injury)
Tchamadeu J.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Swansea won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 24:32. (average 1.2:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Swansea won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.6:1.2).
Denmark
Finland
Iceland
Netherlands
Norway
Sweden
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Vigouroux L. (G) 
Key J. 
Cabango B. (C) 
Burgess C. 
Galbraith E. 
Stamenic M. 
Ronald 
Franco G. 
Eom J. 
Vipotnik Z. 
Bocat E. 
Seko T. 
Fulton J. 
Walta L. 
Widell M. 
Yalcouye M. 
Kelly G. 
Manhoef M. 
Rigo T. 
Talovierov M. 
Tchamadeu J. 
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