Match Info

WORLD: CLUB FRIENDLY

Date: 2 December 2022, Friday


	Stoke City		Nottingham Forest

	1	X	2
	3	3.25	2.1
	3.15	3.6	2.08
	3.1	3.4	2.15
	3.09	3.42	2.1
	3.1	3.2	2.1
	3.18	3.44	2.15	Watch
	3.1	3.4	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↑ (3.06)	3.39 ↓ (3.6)	2.12 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stoke City
29.6%

Draw
27.1%

Nottingham Forest
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

25.3%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

25.4%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stoke City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Nottingham Forest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	37.5%	37.5%

Stoke City - Nottingham Forest Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Stoke will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Nottingham will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nottingham: 4% – 71%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Stoke won 2.

Recent matches Stoke is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nottingham is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Nottingham have a series of home games.

Nottingham will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Stoke won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Stoke won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stoke City
English League Championship
12.11.22	West Bromwich Albion - Stoke City	2:0 ✺
08.11.22	Stoke City - Luton Town	2:0 ✺
05.11.22	Stoke City - Birmingham City	1:2 ✺
02.11.22	Wigan Athletic - Stoke City	0:1 ✺
29.10.22	Norwich City - Stoke City	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWLWL
- Nottingham Forest
English Premier League
12.11.22	Nottingham Forest - Crystal Palace	1:0 ✺
English League Cup
09.11.22	Nottingham Forest - Tottenham Hotspur	2:0 ✺
English Premier League
05.11.22	Nottingham Forest - Brentford	2:2 ✺
30.10.22	Arsenal - Nottingham Forest	5:0 ✺
22.10.22	Nottingham Forest - Liverpool	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 35.5 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
12.02.22	Nottingham Forest - Stoke City	2:2
21.08.21	Stoke City - Nottingham Forest	1:0
24.04.21	Nottingham Forest - Stoke City	1:1
29.12.20	Stoke City - Nottingham Forest	1:1
22.07.20	Nottingham Forest - Stoke City	1:4
27.09.19	Stoke City - Nottingham Forest	2:3
02.03.19	Stoke City - Nottingham Forest	2:0

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