The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Stoke City 27.3%
Draw 25.9%
Middlesbrough 46.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.2%
25.7%
48.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.6%
26.3%
49.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stoke City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
Middlesbrough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
22.2%
22.2%
55.6%
Stoke City - Middlesbrough Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Stoke will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Middlesbrough will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Middlesbrough: 23.1% – 88.1%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DC - Middlesbrough (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 3.5 - under (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
New Consensus by Tipsters:
BTTS - yes (1.67) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Middlesbrough (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Championship Playoffs - Semi - finals and 2nd in the Promotion - Premier League).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stoke won 1.
Stoke has enjoyed a winning run and is in top form (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Middlesbrough has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Middlesbrough holding a narrow advantage.
Confirmed absences for Stoke: Cresswell A.
(Knee Injury)
Ingelsson S.
(Muscle Injury)
Talovierov M.
(Red Card).
Confirmed absences for Middlesbrough: Jones A.
(Calf Injury).
In the last 19 head-to-head meetings, Stoke has recorded 5 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 20:22 (averaging 1.1:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Stoke against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with 9:9 goals (averaging 1:1 per game).
Outrights of English League Championship for now
Middlesbrough: 12.22%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Middlesbrough
9
5
3
1
17:12
5
18
4
Stoke
9
5
1
3
15:13
2
16
Last Results with these Odds
Stoke City - the odds 3.55 are the expected chance of winning is 26.18%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Middlesbrough - the odds 1.93 are the expected chance of winning is 48.11%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
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