Match Info

Championship - Round 27

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Bet365 Stadium (Stoke on Trent) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Donohue M. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Usa	10:00	CBS Sports Network, Fubo Sports Network, Paramount+


	Stoke City		Queens Park Rangers

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.2	3.7	Watch
	2.12	3.35	3.54	Watch
	2.08	3.44	3.55	Watch
	2.15	3.1	3.3
	2.1	3.34	3.9	Watch
	2.05	3.4	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.31)	3.31 (3.31)	3.62 ↑ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stoke City
45.2%

Draw
28.6%

Queens Park Rangers
26.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.9%

28.5%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

28%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stoke City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Queens Park Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Queens Park Rangers than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.4%	5.9%	11.8%

Stoke City - Queens Park Rangers Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Stoke will win (votes: 14 - 82.4%). QPR will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stoke: 64.3% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Stoke (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - QPR (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Stoke (votes: 2 - 66.7%). QPR (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Bazunu G. (G) 40. Talovierov M. 26. Phillips A. 16. Wilmot B. (C) 18. Lawal B. 19. Rigo T. 4. Pearson B. 29. Cisse L. 10. Bae J. 7. Thomas S. 9. Mubama D.	13. Walsh J. (G) 27. Mbengue A. S. 3. Dunne J. (C) 5. Cook S. 18. Norrington-Davies R. 7. Dembele K. 15. Hayden I. 24. Madsen N. 11. Smyth P. 22. Kone R. 26. Kolli R.
Substitutes
17. Bocat E. 8. Curley R. 41. Dixon J. 56. Fawunmi F. 47. Griffin J. 42. Manhoef M. 12. Seko T. 25. Simkin T. (G) 46. Smith W.	2. Adamson K. 48. Alemayehu Mulugeta I. 23. Bennie D. 37. Edwards R. 28. Esquerdinha 8. Field S. 29. Hamer B. (G) 21. Morgan K. 30. Smith T.
Coaches
Robins M.	Stephan J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Mbengue A. S. 🟨,
29', Pearson B. 🟨,
37', Mubama D. 🟨,
45+4', Cisse L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Dunne J. 🟨,
56', Mubama D. ↓, Manhoef M. ↑,
71', Dembele K. ↓, Bennie D. ↑,
76', Lawal B. ↓, Bocat E. ↑,
78', Kone R. 🟨,
86', Smyth P. ↓, Esquerdinha ↑,
87', Kolli R. ↓, Adamson K. ↑,
87', Pearson B. ↓, Seko T. ↑,
90+10', Bennie D. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 8 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stoke won 2.

Stoke is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

QPR is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Stoke is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Stoke: Baker L. (Ankle Injury) Bocat E. (Inactive) Bozenik R. (Shoulder Injury) Cresswell A. (Injury)

There will not play in QPR: Larkeche Z. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Stoke: Tchamadeu J. (Injury)

There are questionable in QPR: Burrell R. (Injury) Chair I. (Muscle Injury) Dembele K. (Injury) Mbengue A. S. (Injury) Saito K. (Injury) Varane J. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Stoke won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:22. (average 1.2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Stoke won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	QPR	12	5	5	2	20:12	8	20
9	Stoke	12	6	2	4	18:16	2	20

Outrights of English League Championship for now

QPR: 3.46%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stoke City
English FA Cup
10.01.26	Stoke City - Coventry City	1:0 ✺
English League Championship
04.01.26	Norwich City - Stoke City	0:2 ✺
01.01.26	Hull City - Stoke City	0:1 ✺
29.12.25	Stoke City - Sheffield United	1:2 ✺
26.12.25	Stoke City - Preston North End	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WWWLT
- Queens Park Rangers
English FA Cup
11.01.26	West Ham United - Queens Park Rangers	2:1 ET ✺
English League Championship
04.01.26	Queens Park Rangers - Sheffield Wednesday	3:0 ✺
01.01.26	Queens Park Rangers - Norwich City	1:2 ✺
29.12.25	West Bromwich Albion - Queens Park Rangers	2:1 ✺
26.12.25	Portsmouth - Queens Park Rangers	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
20.09.25	Queens Park Rangers - Stoke City	1:0
29.03.25	Stoke City - Queens Park Rangers	3:1
23.11.24	Queens Park Rangers - Stoke City	1:1
14.02.24	Stoke City - Queens Park Rangers	1:0
28.11.23	Queens Park Rangers - Stoke City	4:2
29.04.23	Stoke City - Queens Park Rangers	0:1
17.09.22	Queens Park Rangers - Stoke City	0:0

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