The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Stoke City 61.1%
Draw 23.9%
Wigan Athletic 15%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.3%
25.2%
20.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.2%
24.3%
19.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stoke City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stoke City's performance.
Wigan Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wigan Athletic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
80%
6.7%
13.3%
Stoke City - Wigan Athletic Predictions
Users Predictions:
Stoke City will win
(24 of 30 users predict this - 80%). Confidence interval (95%): 65.69% – 94.31%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 16 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
Stoke has the most likely position - 14 (32.01%), project points - 59, currently - 52, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.
Wigan has the most likely position - 24 (83.95%), project points - 38, currently - 34, a very good chance of relegated (>99%), not chance of prom. playoffs.
This event has quality39, very small importance3, small match rating21. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Stoke won 3.
Recent matches Stoke is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Wigan is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match Stoke is the unquestionable favorite.
There will not play in Stoke: Lowe N.
(Injury)
Pearson B.
(Red Card)
Tezgel E.
(Injury)
Tuanzebe A.
(Injury)
There will not play in Wigan: Kelly M.
(Knee Injury)
Kerr J.
(Knee Injury)
Sinani D.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Stoke: Clucas S.
(Injury)
Last 11 head-to-head matches Stoke won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11-15.
Including matches at home between the teams Stoke won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-6.
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