Match Info

ENGLAND: CHAMPIONSHIP - ROUND 41

Date: 10 April 2023, Monday

Location: DW Stadium (Wigan)

Referee: Allison S. (Eng)


	Wigan Athletic		Swansea City

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.3	2.25
	3.2	3.3	2.25
	3.35	3.4	2.2
	3.43	3.41	2.26
	3.25	3.2	2.2
	3.34	3.4	2.18	Watch
	3.3	3.35	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.31 ↑ (2.91)	3.34 ↑ (3.13)	2.22 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Wigan Athletic
28.7%

Draw
28.5%

Swansea City
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

29.8%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

29.4%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wigan Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Swansea City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Swansea City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	31.2%	43.7%

Wigan Athletic - Swansea City Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Wigan will win (votes: 4 - 25%). Swansea will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Swansea: 19.5% – 68.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 15).

Wigan has the most likely position - 24 (52.58%), project points - 41, currently - 34, a good chance of relegated (94%), not chance of prom. playoffs.

Swansea has the most likely position - 15 (21.42%), project points - 59, currently - 50, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.

This event has quality 38, small importance 11, small match rating 25. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wigan won 0.

Two teams are playing changeable.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Wigan: Kelly M. (Knee Injury) Kerr J. (Knee Injury) Sinani D. (Injury)

There will not play in Swansea: Benda S. (Knee Injury) Matthews A. (Injury)

Last 8 head-to-head matches Wigan won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 9-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Wigan won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wigan Athletic
English League Championship
07.04.23	Sheffield United - Wigan Athletic	1:0 ✺
01.04.23	Wigan Athletic - Queens Park Rangers	1:0 ✺
18.03.23	Watford - Wigan Athletic	1:1 ✺
14.03.23	Wigan Athletic - Coventry City	1:1 ✺
11.03.23	Burnley - Wigan Athletic	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWTTL
- Swansea City
English League Championship
07.04.23	Swansea City - Coventry City	0:0 ✺
01.04.23	Cardiff City - Swansea City	2:3 ✺
19.03.23	Swansea City - Bristol City	2:0 ✺
14.03.23	Millwall - Swansea City	2:1 ✺
11.03.23	Swansea City - Middlesbrough	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
05.11.22	Swansea City - Wigan Athletic	2:2
18.01.20	Swansea City - Wigan Athletic	2:1
02.11.19	Wigan Athletic - Swansea City	1:2
29.12.18	Swansea City - Wigan Athletic	2:2
02.10.18	Wigan Athletic - Swansea City	0:0
English Premier League
07.05.13	Wigan Athletic - Swansea City	2:3
20.10.12	Swansea City - Wigan Athletic	2:1

Upcoming Matches