The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Watford 56.6%
Draw 26%
Wigan Athletic 17.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.2%
26.4%
18.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.6%
19.4%
25%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Watford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
Wigan Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Watford than the current prediction. (-16%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Watford that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wigan Athletic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
8.3%
16.7%
Watford - Wigan Athletic Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Watford will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Wigan will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Watford: 50.5% – 99.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
Watford has the most likely position - 8 (14.42%), project points - 68, currently - 54, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a small chance of prom. playoffs (15%), a very small chance of promoted (4%), not chance of win league.
Wigan has the most likely position - 24 (35.42%), project points - 42, currently - 33, a good chance of relegated (83%), a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.
This event has quality38, importance31, match rating35. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Recent matches Watford is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Wigan is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Wigan could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Watford is a favorite.
There will not play in Watford: Choudhury H.
(Yellow Cards)
Cleverley T.
(Leg Injury)
Dele-Bashiru T.
(Injury)
Ferreira J.
(Muscle Injury)
Gosling D.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Hause K.
(Knee Injury)
Kamara H.
(Muscle Injury)
Kayembe E.
(Calf Injury)
Sierralta F.
(Broken ankle)
There will not play in Wigan: Kelly M.
(Knee Injury)
Kerr J.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Wigan: Whatmough J.
(Injury)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Watford won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-3.
Including matches at home between the teams Watford won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.
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