Match Info

Europa League - League phase - Round 3

Date: 23 October 2025, Thursday

Location: Stade Pierre-Mauroy (Villeneuve d'Ascq)

Referee: Dabanovic N. (Mne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 7, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Mix
Belgium	RTBF Tipik
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Bulgaria	Ring, Voyo
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 5
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay
France	CANAL+ France, Free
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, RTL+, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	ANT 1+, Cosmote Sport 4K, COSMOTE Sport 5
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Iceland	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Mauritius	MBC 11
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	DAZN 3
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
South-america	ESPN 5 South
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 6
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 16, Blue Sport 16, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	Tabii
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 7, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 8
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN USA, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus


	Lille		PAOK

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.33	5.75
	1.55	4.35	6.1
	1.55	4.43	5.9
	17.12	8.63	1.12	Watch
	1.61	4.45	5.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.67 ↑ (1.62)	5.24 ↑ (4.13)	4.96 ↓ (5.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lille
35.3%

Draw
31.5%

PAOK
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59%

23.1%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

22.5%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-23.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lille's form might have worsened.

PAOK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting PAOK's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lille than the current prediction. (+25.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lille, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PAOK than the current prediction. (-15.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for PAOK, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.3%	5.3%	9.3%

Lille - PAOK Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.25 - Lille (2.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Lille will win (64 of 74 users predict this - 86.49%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.7% – 94.28%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lille will win (23 of 25 users predict this - 92%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 26 Selected Experts predict this event. Lille (votes: 24 - 92.3%). PAOK (votes: 2 - 7.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ozer B. (G) 22. Santos T. 23. Mandi A. 3. Ngoy N. 24. Verdonk C. 21. Andre B. (C) 28. Raghouber U. 27. Correia F. 11. Sahraoui O. 7. Fernandez-Pardo M. 29. Igamane H.	99. Tsiftsis A. (G) 3. Kenny J. 16. Kedziora T. 5. Michailidis G. 21. Baba A. R. 2. Camara M. 8. Meite S. 77. Despodov K. 65. Konstantelias G. 14. Zivkovic A. (C) 9. Chalov F.
Substitutes
6. Bentaleb N. 16. Bodart A. (G) 32. Bouaddi A. 14. Broholm M. 35. Diaoune S. 9. Giroud O. 10. Haraldsson H. 18. Mbemba Ch. 50. Merzouk S. (G) 12. Meunier T. 17. Mukau N. 15. Perraud R.	39. Berdos D. 22. Bianco A. 7. Giakoumakis G. 18. Ivanusec L. 6. Lovren D. 41. Monastirlis D. (G) 1. Pavlenka J. (G) 10. Pelkas D. 23. Sastre J. 32. Taylor G. 25. Thymianis K. 4. Vogliacco A.
Coaches
Genesio B.	Lucescu R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
15', Camara M. ↓, Bianco A. ↑,
18', 0 - 1, Meite S. ⚽, Zivkovic A. (A),
23', 0 - 2, Zivkovic A. ⚽, Michailidis G. (A),
29', Zivkovic A. 🟨,
42', 0 - 3, Konstantelias G. ⚽, Chalov F. (A),
44', Kedziora T. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Ngoy N. ↓, Mbemba Ch. ↑,
46', Santos T. ↓, Meunier T. ↑,
53', Raghouber U. 🟨,
57', 1 - 3, Andre B. ⚽, Verdonk C. (A),
62', Raghouber U. ↓, Bouaddi A. ↑,
62', Correia F. ↓, Giroud O. ↑,
66', Chalov F. ↓, Giakoumakis G. ↑,
68', 2 - 3, Igamane H. ⚽, Meunier T. (A),
70', Zivkovic A. (Pen),
74', 2 - 4, Zivkovic A. ⚽, Despodov K. (A),
78', 3 - 4, Igamane H. ⚽, Mbemba Ch. (A),
81', Despodov K. ↓, Pelkas D. ↑,
88', Sahraoui O. ↓, Haraldsson H. ↑,
90+2', Tsiftsis A. 🟨,
90+5', Giakoumakis G. 🟨,
90+9', Kedziora T. 🟨,

Preview

Lille is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, PAOK has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Lille is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Lille: Alexsandro (Thigh Injury) Bentaleb N. (Inactive) Gomes A. (Inactive) Mbappe E. (Inactive) Mukau N. (Inactive) Toure O. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in PAOK: Balde M. (Inactive) Berdos D. (Inactive) Chatsidis D. (Injury) Gugeshashvili L. (Inactive) Murg T. (Inactive) Ozdoev M. (Injury) Taison (Injury)

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- OSC Lille
French Ligue 1
19.10.25	Nantes - Lille	0:2 ✺
05.10.25	Lille - Paris Saint-Germain	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
02.10.25	Roma - Lille	0:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
28.09.25	Lille - Lyon	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
25.09.25	Lille - Brann	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 WTWLW
- PAOK FC
Greek Super League
19.10.25	AEK Athens - PAOK	0:2 ✺
05.10.25	PAOK - Olympiacos Piraeus	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
02.10.25	Celta de Vigo - PAOK	3:1 ✺
Greek Super League
28.09.25	Asteras Tripolis - PAOK	3:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
24.09.25	PAOK - Maccabi Tel Aviv	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWLTT

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