Match Info

Europa League - League phase - Round 5

Date: 27 November 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Olympic Stadium of Athens (Athens) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Sozza S. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	17:00	Disney+
Armenia	00:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 7, TOD
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Canal+
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
China	04:00	ZhiBo8
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5
Denmark	21:00	Disney+
Finland	22:00	Viaplay
France	21:00	Canal+ Live 10
Georgia	00:00	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	21:00	RTL+
Greece	22:00	ANT 1+, COSMOTE Sport 4
Hong Kong	04:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
Iceland	20:00	Viaplay
Indonesia	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Kosovo	21:00	Arena Premium 2
Laos	03:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	14:00	Disney+
New Zealand	09:00	DAZN New Zealand
Norway	21:00	Viaplay
Peru	15:00	Disney+
Philippines	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	21:00	Polsat Sport Extra 1
Portugal	20:00	DAZN / App
Russia	23:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	04:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovenia	21:00	SportKlub 3
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 8
Sweden	21:00	Disney+
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 19
Thailand	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	23:00	Tabii
United Kingdom	20:00	Discovery+ App, Discovery+
Uruguay	17:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	Paramount+
Venezuela	16:00	Disney+
Vietnam	03:00	ON Plus


	Panathinaikos		Sturm Graz

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.9	5
	1.72	4.05	4.8
	1.72	3.99	4.92
	1.68	3.66	5.27	Watch
	1.74	3.97	5.31
	1.66	4	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.68)	3.93 ↑ (3.66)	5.01 ↓ (5.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Panathinaikos
56.5%

Draw
24.4%

Sturm Graz
19.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

56.2%

25.8%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9%

25%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Panathinaikos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Sturm Graz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Panathinaikos than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87%	7.4%	5.6%

Panathinaikos - Sturm Graz Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Panathinaikos will win (47 of 53 users predict this - 88.68%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.15% – 97.21%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Panathinaikos will win (23 of 24 users predict this - 95.83%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
69. Dragowski B. (G) 2. Calabria D. 15. Ingason S. I. 14. Palmer-Brown E. 5. Touba A. 11. Bakasetas A. (C) 16. Gnezda Cerin A. 31. Djuricic F. 10. Tete 19. Swiderski K. 9. Zaroury A.	1. Christensen O. (G) 2. Mitchell J. 47. Aiwu E. 35. Geyrhofer N. 17. Karic E. 8. Rozga F. 4. Gorenc Stankovic J. (C) 21. Chukwuani T. 10. Kiteishvili O. 20. Jatta S. 77. Malone M.
Substitutes
30. Bregou A. 4. Chirivella P. 26. Fikaj E. 71. Geitonas C. (G) 70. Kotsaris K. (G) 27. Kotsiras G. 25. Mladenovic F. 72. Pantovic M. 20. Taborda V. 47. Terzis S.	22. Beck J. 26. Beganovic B. 40. Bignetti M. (G) 38. Grgic L. 25. Hierlander S. 43. Hodl J. 19. Horvat T. 11. Kayombo A. 53. Khudyakov D. (G) 24. Lavalee D. 23. Malic A. 5. Oermann T.
Coaches
Benitez R.	Saumel J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', Ingason S. I. 🟨,
18', 1 - 0, Swiderski K. ⚽, Zaroury A. (A),
25', Gorenc Stankovic J. 🟨,
34', 1 - 1, Kiteishvili O. ⚽, Gorenc Stankovic J. (A),
36', Mitchell J. 🟨,
40', Swiderski K. 🟨,
45+1', Bakasetas A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Mitchell J. ↓, Malic A. ↑,
61', Malone M. ↓, Kayombo A. ↑,
61', Rozga F. ↓, Horvat T. ↑,
65', Tete ↓, Chirivella P. ↑,
65', Swiderski K. ↓, Pantovic M. ↑,
73', Kiteishvili O. ↓, Hodl J. ↑,
74', 2 - 1, Calabria D. ⚽, Bakasetas A. (A),
78', Jatta S. ↓, Grgic L. ↑,
80', Calabria D. ↓, Kotsiras G. ↑,
84', Chukwuani T. 🟨,
85', Bakasetas A. ↓, Mladenovic F. ↑,

Preview

Panathinaikos is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Sturm has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Panathinaikos has had a series of away games.

In this match, Panathinaikos is the team to beat.

There will not play in Panathinaikos: Calabria D. (Muscle Injury) Jedvaj T. (Inactive) Jeremejeff A. (Illness) Kotsiras G. (Muscle Injury) Kyriakopoulos G. (Injury) Kyriopoulos G. (Knee Injury) Mancini D. (Inactive) Max P. (Inactive) Miguel Tavares (Inactive) Nikas G. (Inactive) Pellistri F. (Knock) Sanches R. (Injury) Sgouros I. (Inactive) Siopis M. (Yellow Cards) Vilhena T. (Inactive)

There will not play in Sturm: Beganovic B. (Inactive) Borkovic A. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Panathinaikos: Chirivella P. (Injury) Dessers C. (Injury) Lafont A. (Injury)

We predict that Panathinaikos will win today's game, with odds of 1.7.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Panathinaikos FC
Greek Super League
23.11.25	Panserraikos - Panathinaikos	0:3 ✺
09.11.25	Panathinaikos - PAOK	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.11.25	Malmö - Panathinaikos	0:1 ✺
Greek Super League
01.11.25	Volos - Panathinaikos	1:0 ✺
Greek Cup
29.10.25	Atromitos Athens - Panathinaikos	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWLW
- Sturm Graz
Austrian Bundesliga
23.11.25	Sturm Graz - LASK Linz	1:3 ✺
09.11.25	Sturm Graz - Red Bull Salzburg	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.11.25	Sturm Graz - Nottingham Forest	0:0 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
02.11.25	Rapid Wien - Sturm Graz	2:1 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
29.10.25	Admira - Sturm Graz	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LTTLW

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