Match Info

Europa League - League phase - Round 5

Date: 27 November 2025, Thursday

Location: Olympic Stadium of Athens (Athens)

Referee: Sozza S. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Panathinaikos		Sturm Graz

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.9	5
	1.72	4.05	4.8
	1.72	3.99	4.92
	1.68	3.66	5.27	Watch
	1.74	3.97	5.31
	1.66	4	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.68)	3.93 ↑ (3.66)	5.01 ↓ (5.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Panathinaikos
56.5%

Draw
24.4%

Sturm Graz
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.2%

25.8%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9%

25%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Panathinaikos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Sturm Graz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Panathinaikos than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87%	7.4%	5.6%

Panathinaikos - Sturm Graz Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Panathinaikos will win (47 of 53 users predict this - 88.68%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.15% – 97.21%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Panathinaikos will win (23 of 24 users predict this - 95.83%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
69. Dragowski B. (G) 2. Calabria D. 15. Ingason S. I. 14. Palmer-Brown E. 5. Touba A. 11. Bakasetas A. (C) 16. Gnezda Cerin A. 31. Djuricic F. 10. Tete 19. Swiderski K. 9. Zaroury A.	1. Christensen O. (G) 2. Mitchell J. 47. Aiwu E. 35. Geyrhofer N. 17. Karic E. 8. Rozga F. 4. Gorenc Stankovic J. (C) 21. Chukwuani T. 10. Kiteishvili O. 20. Jatta S. 77. Malone M.
Substitutes
30. Bregou A. 4. Chirivella P. 26. Fikaj E. 71. Geitonas C. (G) 70. Kotsaris K. (G) 27. Kotsiras G. 25. Mladenovic F. 72. Pantovic M. 20. Taborda V. 47. Terzis S.	22. Beck J. 26. Beganovic B. 40. Bignetti M. (G) 38. Grgic L. 25. Hierlander S. 43. Hodl J. 19. Horvat T. 11. Kayombo A. 53. Khudyakov D. (G) 24. Lavalee D. 23. Malic A. 5. Oermann T.
Coaches
Benitez R.	Saumel J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', Ingason S. I. 🟨,
18', 1 - 0, Swiderski K. ⚽, Zaroury A. (A),
25', Gorenc Stankovic J. 🟨,
34', 1 - 1, Kiteishvili O. ⚽, Gorenc Stankovic J. (A),
36', Mitchell J. 🟨,
40', Swiderski K. 🟨,
45+1', Bakasetas A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Mitchell J. ↓, Malic A. ↑,
61', Malone M. ↓, Kayombo A. ↑,
61', Rozga F. ↓, Horvat T. ↑,
65', Tete ↓, Chirivella P. ↑,
65', Swiderski K. ↓, Pantovic M. ↑,
73', Kiteishvili O. ↓, Hodl J. ↑,
74', 2 - 1, Calabria D. ⚽, Bakasetas A. (A),
78', Jatta S. ↓, Grgic L. ↑,
80', Calabria D. ↓, Kotsiras G. ↑,
84', Chukwuani T. 🟨,
85', Bakasetas A. ↓, Mladenovic F. ↑,

Preview

Panathinaikos is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Sturm has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Panathinaikos has had a series of away games.

In this match, Panathinaikos is the team to beat.

There will not play in Panathinaikos: Calabria D. (Muscle Injury) Jedvaj T. (Inactive) Jeremejeff A. (Illness) Kotsiras G. (Muscle Injury) Kyriakopoulos G. (Injury) Kyriopoulos G. (Knee Injury) Mancini D. (Inactive) Max P. (Inactive) Miguel Tavares (Inactive) Nikas G. (Inactive) Pellistri F. (Knock) Sanches R. (Injury) Sgouros I. (Inactive) Siopis M. (Yellow Cards) Vilhena T. (Inactive)

There will not play in Sturm: Beganovic B. (Inactive) Borkovic A. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Panathinaikos: Chirivella P. (Injury) Dessers C. (Injury) Lafont A. (Injury)

We predict that Panathinaikos will win today's game, with odds of 1.7.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Panathinaikos FC
Greek Super League
23.11.25	Panserraikos - Panathinaikos	0:3 ✺
09.11.25	Panathinaikos - PAOK	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.11.25	Malmö - Panathinaikos	0:1 ✺
Greek Super League
01.11.25	Volos - Panathinaikos	1:0 ✺
Greek Cup
29.10.25	Atromitos Athens - Panathinaikos	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWLW
- Sturm Graz
Austrian Bundesliga
23.11.25	Sturm Graz - LASK Linz	1:3 ✺
09.11.25	Sturm Graz - Red Bull Salzburg	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.11.25	Sturm Graz - Nottingham Forest	0:0 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
02.11.25	Rapid Wien - Sturm Graz	2:1 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
29.10.25	Admira - Sturm Graz	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LTTLW

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