Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 31

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Location: MHPArena (Stuttgart)

Referee: Dingert C. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
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World	Onefootball


	Stuttgart		Werder Bremen

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.75	5.75	Watch
	1.55	4.45	5.9
	1.54	4.7	5.92
	1.52	4.66	5.66	Watch
	1.53	4	5
	1.58	4.68	5.99	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.61)	4.54 ↑ (3.92)	5.7 ↑ (5.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stuttgart
62.2%

Draw
21.1%

Werder Bremen
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59%

24.2%

16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

23.6%

16.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stuttgart has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

The chances for Werder Bremen have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stuttgart than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Werder Bremen than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.8%	8.6%	8.6%

Stuttgart - Werder Bremen Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Stuttgart (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Stuttgart will win (47 of 56 users predict this - 83.93%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.31% – 93.55%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Nubel A. (G) 22. Assignon L. 14. Jaquez L. 23. Zagadou D. 7. Mittelstadt M. 30. Andres C. 6. Stiller A. 8. Tomas T. 11. El Khannouss B. 18. Leweling J. 26. Undav D. (C)	30. Backhaus M. (G) 5. Pieper A. 4. Stark N. 31. Coulibaly K. 3. Sugawara Y. 18. Puertas C. 14. Lynen S. 2. Deman O. 6. Stage J. (C) 20. Schmid R. 19. Milosevic J.
Substitutes
27. Bouanani B. 1. Bredlow F. (G) 24. Chabot J. 9. Demirovic E. 10. Fuhrich C. 3. Hendriks R. 16. Karazor A. 28. Nartey N. 4. Vagnoman J.	44. Boniface V. 24. Covic P. 25. Kolke M. (G) 7. Mbangula S. 29. Musah S. 11. Njinmah J. 33. Schmetgens M. 23. Schmidt I. 39. Wober M.
Coaches
Hoeness S.	Thioune D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Stage J. ⚽, Sugawara Y. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Zagadou D. ↓, Hendriks R. ↑,
57', Assignon L. ↓, Fuhrich C. ↑,
57', Tomas T. ↓, Demirovic E. ↑,
61', 1 - 1, Demirovic E. ⚽, El Khannouss B. (A),
65', Stark N. ↓, Wober M. ↑,
65', Milosevic J. ↓, Njinmah J. ↑,
78', Leweling J. ↓, Bouanani B. ↑,
78', Backhaus M. 🟨,
83', Stage J. ↓, Mbangula S. ↑,
89', Andres C. ↓, Nartey N. ↑,
90+4', Schmid R. ↓, Musah S. ↑,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stuttgart won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Werder may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Stuttgart is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Stuttgart: Jeltsch F. (Injury) Jovanovic L. (Back Injury)

There will not play in Werder: Adeh W. (Knee Injury) Agu F. (Muscle Injury) Bittencourt L. (Yellow Cards) Grull M. (Yellow Cards) Hein K. (Hand Injury) Malatini J. (Ankle Injury) Topp K. (Knee Injury) Weiser M. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Werder: Boniface V. (Knee Injury) Njinmah J. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Stuttgart won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 29:31. (average 1.5:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Stuttgart won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.4:1.3).

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

Werder Bremen: 0.26%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Werder Bremen	5	2	2	1	10:10	0	8
15	Stuttgart	4	1	0	3	6:9	-3	3

Last Results with these Odds

Stuttgart - the odds 1.61 are the expected chance of winning is 59.01%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfB Stuttgart
German DFB Pokal
23.04.26	Stuttgart - Freiburg	2:1 ET ✺
German Bundesliga
19.04.26	Bayern Munich - Stuttgart	4:2 ✺
12.04.26	Stuttgart - Hamburger SV	4:0 ✺
04.04.26	Stuttgart - Borussia Dortmund	0:2 ✺
22.03.26	Augsburg - Stuttgart	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWLW
- Werder Bremen
German Bundesliga
18.04.26	Werder Bremen - Hamburger SV	3:1 ✺
12.04.26	Köln - Werder Bremen	3:1 ✺
04.04.26	Werder Bremen - RB Leipzig	1:2 ✺
21.03.26	Wolfsburg - Werder Bremen	0:1 ✺
15.03.26	Werder Bremen - Mainz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
14.12.25	Werder Bremen - Stuttgart	0:4
13.04.25	Stuttgart - Werder Bremen	1:2
30.11.24	Werder Bremen - Stuttgart	2:2
21.04.24	Werder Bremen - Stuttgart	2:1
02.12.23	Stuttgart - Werder Bremen	2:0
05.02.23	Stuttgart - Werder Bremen	0:2
13.08.22	Werder Bremen - Stuttgart	2:2

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