Match Info

URUGUAY: SEGUNDA DIVISION - ROUND 24

Date: 24 November 2023, Friday


	Sud América		Progreso

	1	X	2
	4	3.3	1.75	Watch
	3.92	3.41	1.87
	3.92	3.41	1.85
	4	3.5	1.7
	3.96	3.4	1.8	Watch
	4	3.4	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.97 ↓ (4.07)	3.4 ↓ (3.44)	1.8 ↑ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sud América
22.9%

Draw
26.6%

Progreso
50.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.1%

26.2%

51.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.5%

25.5%

53.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sud América has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Progreso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sud América than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Progreso than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Sud América - Progreso Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 13 and 3).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sud América won 1.

Sud América is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Progreso is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Progreso is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Sud América won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Sud América won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IA Sud América
Uruguayan Segunda Division
19.11.23	Uruguay Montevideo - Sud América	1:1 ✺
15.11.23	Sud América - Albion Montevideo	2:1 ✺
11.11.23	Sud América - Tacuarembó	1:2 ✺
03.11.23	Juventud de Las Piedras - Sud América	2:0 ✺
Uruguay Copa
29.10.23	Sud América - Peñarol de Montevideo	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 TWLLL
- CA Progreso
Uruguayan Segunda Division
18.11.23	Progreso - Juventud de Las Piedras	2:1 ✺
14.11.23	Atenas de San Carlos - Progreso	1:1 ✺
12.11.23	Progreso - Rampla Juniors	1:1 ✺
03.11.23	Oriental de La Paz - Progreso	0:2 ✺
Uruguay Copa
29.10.23	Progreso - Montevideo City Torque	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
14.07.23	Progreso - Sud América	0:3
02.04.23	Progreso - Sud América	2:0
17.09.22	Progreso - Sud América	3:1
22.06.22	Sud América - Progreso	1:1
Uruguayan Primera Division
25.10.21	Progreso - Sud América	0:0
29.06.21	Sud América - Progreso	2:4

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