Match Info

Date: 28 September 2021, Tuesday


	Sunderland		Cheltenham Town

	1	X	2
	1.57	4	6
	1.6	3.7	5.75
	1.63	4.08	5.2
	1.59	3.8	5.4
	1.63	4.03	5.68
	1.6	3.6	5.5
	1.65	4.05	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.69)	3.89 ↑ (3.58)	5.62 ↑ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sunderland
58.8%

Draw
24.3%

Cheltenham Town
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

26.1%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.7%

21.3%

15.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sunderland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Cheltenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sunderland, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83%	6.4%	10.6%

Sunderland - Cheltenham Town Predictions

Users Predictions: Sunderland will win (39 of 47 users predict this - 82.98%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.24% – 93.72%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship and 14).

Sunderland has the most likely position - 1 (29.75%), has project points - 85, has currently - 19, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (33%), has a good chance of promoted (54%), has a chance of win league (30%).

Cheltenham has the most likely position - 22 (7.31%), has project points - 54, has currently - 12, has a chance of relegated (28%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (6%), has a very small chance of promoted (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Sunderland in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Cheltenham is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Sunderland is a favorite.

Recent matches Cheltenham is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sunderland AFC
English League One
25.09.21	Sunderland - Bolton Wanderers	1:0 ✺
English League Cup
21.09.21	Wigan Athletic - Sunderland	0:2 ✺
English League One
18.09.21	Fleetwood Town - Sunderland	2:2 ✺
11.09.21	Sunderland - Accrington Stanley	2:1 ✺
28.08.21	Sunderland - Wycombe Wanderers	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWTWW
- Cheltenham Town
English League One
25.09.21	Wigan Athletic - Cheltenham Town	2:0 ✺
English League Cup
21.09.21	Preston North End - Cheltenham Town	4:1 ✺
English League One
18.09.21	Cheltenham Town - Oxford United	1:0 ✺
11.09.21	Charlton Athletic - Cheltenham Town	1:2 ✺
04.09.21	Cheltenham Town - Milton Keynes Dons	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LLWWT

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