Match Info

Premier League Summer Series

Date: 30 July 2026, Thursday

Location: Sports Illustrated Stadium (Harrison, NJ)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Hungary	Match 4, Net4+
Iraq	Al Rabiaa Sport
Israel	Sport 2
Mexico	Claro Sports
Norway	VG+
Portugal	Sport TV2
Sweden	Sport Bladet Play
Turkey	beIN Connect
United-kingdom	LUTV, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player, SAFC Live
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	OneFootball TV, Pluto TV


	Sunderland		Leeds United

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.4	2.3	Watch
	2.70	3.30	2.25
	2.68	3.55	2.42
	2.58	3.6	2.4
	2.9	3.01	2.59	Watch
	2.65	3.3	2.2
	2.68	3.48	2.45	Watch
	2.65	3.35	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.54)	3.37 ↓ (3.52)	2.37 ↓ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sunderland
34%

Draw
27.2%

Leeds United
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

26.5%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sunderland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Leeds United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Sunderland - Leeds United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Ellborg M. (G) 5. Ballard D. 9. Brobbey B. 8. Browne A. 32. Hume T. 28. Le Fee E. 17. Mandava R. 20. Mukiele N. 14. Mundle R. 13. O'Nien L. 11. Rigg C.	21. Cairns A. (G) 2. Bogle J. 33. Bornauw S. 3. Gudmundsson G. 8. Longstaff S. 72. Mills C. 5. Muharemovic T. 14. Nmecha L. 6. Rodon J. 22. Tanaka A. 17. Wilson H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Nmecha L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Mundle R. ↓, Angulo N. ↑,
46', Ballard D. ↓, Hjelde L. F. ↑,
61', 🟨,

Preview

Neutral location - Sports Illustrated Stadium.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sunderland won 1.

Leeds may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Sunderland won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 0.9:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Sunderland won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1:1).

Standings

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Leeds	3	2	0	1	7:5	2	6
4	Sunderland	3	1	0	2	3:5	-2	3

Last Results with these Odds

Sunderland - the odds 2.54 are the expected chance of winning is 36.74%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sunderland AFC
Premier League Summer Series
25.07.26	Liverpool - Sunderland	4:2 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.26	York City - Sunderland	1:5 ✺
English Premier League
24.05.26	Sunderland - Chelsea	2:1 ✺
17.05.26	Everton - Sunderland	1:3 ✺
09.05.26	Sunderland - Manchester United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.2 LWWWT
- Leeds United
Premier League Summer Series
25.07.26	Wrexham - Leeds United	3:2 ✺
English Premier League
24.05.26	West Ham United - Leeds United	3:0 ✺
17.05.26	Leeds United - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:0 ✺
11.05.26	Tottenham Hotspur - Leeds United	1:1 ✺
01.05.26	Leeds United - Burnley	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
03.03.26	Leeds United - Sunderland	0:1
28.12.25	Sunderland - Leeds United	1:1
English League Championship
17.02.25	Leeds United - Sunderland	2:1
04.10.24	Sunderland - Leeds United	2:2
09.04.24	Leeds United - Sunderland	0:0
12.12.23	Sunderland - Leeds United	1:0
07.04.18	Leeds United - Sunderland	1:1

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