Match Info

Premier League - Round 38

Date: 24 May 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadium of Light (Sunderland) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Kavanagh C. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, SuperSport Blitz
Albania	17:00	SuperSport 6
Argentina	12:00	Disney+
Armenia	19:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, beIN Sports MENA 8, TOD
Australia	01:00	Stan Sport
Austria	17:00	Sky Go Austria
Bangladesh	21:00	Toffee Live
Bolivia	11:00	ESPN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	17:00	Arena Sport 5P
Brazil	12:00	Disney+
Bulgaria	18:00	Play Diema Xtra
Canada	11:00	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network, FuboTV
Chile	11:00	Disney+
China	23:00	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	10:00	Disney+
Croatia	17:00	Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	18:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1
Czech Republic	17:00	CANAL+ Sport 8, CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	17:00	Viaplay
Ecuador	10:00	ESPN
Europe	—	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic
Finland	18:00	Viaplay
France	17:00	CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 6, Canal+ Live 8
Germany	17:00	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 7, WOW
Greece	18:00	Nova Sports 6
Hong Kong	23:00	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 5
Iceland	15:00	SÝN, SÝN Sport 6
India	20:30	Disney+ Hotstar
Indonesia	22:00	Vidio
Italy	17:00	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 257
Japan	00:00	U-NEXT
Kenya	18:00	Gotv
Kosovo	17:00	SuperSport 6
Malaysia	23:00	Astro Go, Canal + Cha Tate, Canal+
Malta	17:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 1
Mexico	09:00	HBO Max
Myanmar	21:30	Canal+ Myanmar
Nepal	20:45	Kantipur Max
Netherlands	17:00	Viaplay
New Zealand	03:00	Sky Sport 9
Nigeria	16:00	SuperSport Blitz
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
North Macedonia	17:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	17:00	Viaplay, V Sport+
Pakistan	20:00	ARY ZAP
Peru	10:00	Disney+
Philippines	23:00	Setanta Sports
Poland	17:00	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	16:00	DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	18:00	Voyo
Serbia	17:00	Arena Sport 2
Slovakia	17:00	Voyo
South Africa	17:00	SuperSport Blitz
South Korea	00:00	Coupang Play
Spain	17:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	17:00	Viaplay
Thailand	22:00	AIS PLAY
Turkey	18:00	beIN Connect
United Kingdom	16:00	Sky Go, Sky Sports+
Uruguay	12:00	Disney+
Usa	11:00	NBC Sports App, NBC, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock
Venezuela	11:00	Disney+
Vietnam	22:00	FPT Play


	Sunderland		Chelsea

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.75	2
	3.6	3.7	2.02
	3.47	3.87	2.1
	3.41	3.75	2.08	Watch
	3.4	3.5	2
	3.68	3.8	2.08	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.49 ↓ (3.5)	3.73 ↓ (3.78)	2.05 ↑ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sunderland
27.4%

Draw
25.7%

Chelsea
46.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27.5%

25.4%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4%

25.4%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sunderland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Chelsea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Sunderland aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.1%	17.6%	38.2%

Sunderland - Chelsea Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Sunderland will win (votes: 14 - 42.4%). Chelsea will win (votes: 13 - 39.4%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sunderland: 25.5% – 59.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Chelsea (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Sunderland (2.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sunderland (votes: 1 - 50%). Chelsea (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Roefs R. (G) 6. Geertruida L. 20. Mukiele N. 13. O'Nien L. 17. Mandava R. 34. Xhaka G. (C) 27. Sadiki N. 32. Hume T. 28. Le Fee E. 10. Angulo N. 9. Brobbey B.	1. Sanchez R. (G) 29. Fofana W. 6. Colwill L. 21. Hato J. 27. Gusto M. 8. Fernandez E. (C) 25. Caicedo M. 3. Cucurella M. 10. Palmer C. 7. Neto P. 20. Joao Pedro
Substitutes
15. Alderete O. 37. Bi J. T. 3. Cirkin D. 19. Diarra H. 31. Ellborg M. (G) 18. Isidor W. 12. Mayenda E. 11. Rigg C. 25. Traore B.	34. Acheampong J. 17. Andrey Santos 23. Chalobah T. 9. Delap L. 55. Derry J. 14. Essugo D. 49. Garnacho A. 24. James R. 12. Jorgensen F. (G)
Coaches
Le Bris R.	McFarlane C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Hume T. ⚽, O'Nien L. (A),
42', Angulo N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 2 - 0, Gusto M. (Own goal),
52', Geertruida L. 🟨,
53', Hato J. ↓, James R. ↑,
54', Fofana W. 🟨,
56', 2 - 1, Palmer C. ⚽, Neto P. (A),
61', Brobbey B. ↓, Isidor W. ↑,
61', Angulo N. ↓, Diarra H. ↑,
62', Fofana W. 🟨,
65', Neto P. ↓, Chalobah T. ↑,
69', Fernandez E. 🟨,
73', Xhaka G. 🟨,
81', Diarra H. 🟨,
85', Caicedo M. ↓, Delap L. ↑,
85', Gusto M. ↓, Acheampong J. ↑,
89', Sadiki N. 🟨,
90+7', Joao Pedro 🟨,
90+8', Le Fee E. ↓, Rigg C. ↑,
90+11', Palmer C. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sunderland won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Chelsea may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Chelsea has had a series of home games.

Chelsea will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Sunderland: Ballard D. (Red Card) Moore S. (Wrist Injury) Mundle R. (Hamstring Injury) Talbi C. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Chelsea: Derry J. (Concussion) Estêvão (Hamstring Injury) Gittens J. (Muscle Injury) Lavia R. (Knock) Mudryk M. (Suspended)

There are questionable in Sunderland: Alderete O. (Injury) Traore B. (Knee Injury)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Sunderland won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 17:26. (average 1.4:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Sunderland won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.5:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Chelsea	8	4	1	3	17:15	2	13
20	Sunderland	8	1	2	5	6:14	-8	5

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Chelsea: 5.9% Sunderland: 0.12%

Last Results with these Odds

Sunderland - the odds 3.5 are the expected chance of winning is 27.46%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sunderland AFC
English Premier League
17.05.26	Everton - Sunderland	1:3 ✺
09.05.26	Sunderland - Manchester United	0:0 ✺
02.05.26	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Sunderland	1:1 ✺
24.04.26	Sunderland - Nottingham Forest	0:5 ✺
19.04.26	Aston Villa - Sunderland	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WTTLL
- Chelsea
English Premier League
19.05.26	Chelsea - Tottenham Hotspur	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
16.05.26	Chelsea - Manchester City	0:1 ✺
English Premier League
09.05.26	Liverpool - Chelsea	1:1 ✺
04.05.26	Chelsea - Nottingham Forest	1:3 ✺
English FA Cup
26.04.26	Chelsea - Leeds United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
25.10.25	Chelsea - Sunderland	1:2
21.05.17	Chelsea - Sunderland	5:1
14.12.16	Sunderland - Chelsea	0:1
07.05.16	Sunderland - Chelsea	3:2
19.12.15	Chelsea - Sunderland	3:1
24.05.15	Chelsea - Sunderland	3:1
29.11.14	Sunderland - Chelsea	0:0

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