Match Info

Premier League - Round 36

Date: 11 May 2026, Monday

Location: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium (London)

Referee: Gillett J. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Afghanistan	Solh Sports 1
Africa	CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	SuperSport 2
Argentina	ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League, Sky Sport Austria Top Event
Bangladesh	Toffee Live
Belgium	Play Sports 1
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 2 DRM, fubo Sports Network 3 DRM, fubo Sports Network 4 DRM, fubo Sports Network, FuboTV
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	See, Viaplay
Europe	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic
Finland	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
France	CANAL+ Foot, CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 1
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Premier League
Haiti	Tele Haiti
Hong-kong	Now Player
Hungary	Match 4
Iceland	SÝN, SÝN Sport
India	Disney+ Hotstar, Star Sports Select 1
Indonesia	Vidio
Ireland	NOW
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 1, SuperSport 2
Malaysia	Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 1, Sooka
Maldives	Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mexico	FOX One, Tubi TV
Nepal	Kantipur Max
New-zealand	Sky Sport Premier League
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Pakistan	ARY ZAP
Paraguay	ESPN
Peru	ESPN
Poland	Canal+ Extra 1
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Voyo
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-africa	SuperSport Grandstand, Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
Spain	DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana
Suriname	SCCN
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	AIS PLAY
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Ukraine	Setanta Sports
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD
Usa	NBC Universo, NBC, Peacock, SiriusXM FC, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW, USA Network
Venezuela	ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	FPT Play


	Tottenham Hotspur		Leeds United

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.9	4.5
	1.75	3.85	4.65
	1.79	3.92	4.75
	1.82	3.84	4.52	Watch
	1.73	3.8	4.4
	1.79	4.05	4.78	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (2.07)	3.89 ↑ (3.78)	4.6 ↑ (3.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tottenham Hotspur
54.3%

Draw
24.7%

Leeds United
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

25.4%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

26.9%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tottenham Hotspur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tottenham Hotspur's performance.

Leeds United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leeds United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tottenham Hotspur than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tottenham Hotspur that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leeds United than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leeds United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.4%	11.9%	3.7%

Tottenham Hotspur - Leeds United Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Tottenham (3.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Tottenham Hotspur will win (89 of 106 users predict this - 83.96%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.97% – 90.95%. The data is statistically significant.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Tottenham Hotspur will win (18 of 18 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 19 Selected Experts predict this event. Tottenham (votes: 19 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Kinsky A. (G) 23. Porro P. 4. Danso K. 37. van de Ven M. (C) 13. Udogie D. 6. Palhinha J. 30. Bentancur R. 39. Kolo Muani R. 22. Gallagher C. 11. Tel M. 9. Richarlison	26. Darlow K. (G) 6. Rodon J. 15. Bijol J. 5. Struijk P. 7. James D. 18. Stach A. 4. Ampadu E. (C) 22. Tanaka A. 24. Justin J. 11. Aaronson B. 9. Calvert-Lewin D.
Substitutes
40. Austin B. (G) 15. Bergvall L. 8. Bissouma Y. 3. Dragusin R. 14. Gray A. 10. Maddison J. 29. Sarr P. M. 38. Souza 24. Spence D.	23. Bornauw S. 25. Byram S. 47. Chadwick-Chaplin R. 29. Gnonto W. 65. Lienou J. 8. Longstaff S. 1. Lucas Perri (G) 14. Nmecha L. 10. Piroe J.
Coaches
De Zerbi R.	Farke D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Danso K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 1 - 0, Tel M. ⚽,
56', Struijk P. ↓, Bornauw S. ↑,
63', Aaronson B. ↓, Nmecha L. ↑,
63', James D. ↓, Gnonto W. ↑,
66', Palhinha J. 🟨,
74', 1 - 1, Calvert-Lewin D. (Penalty Awarded),
79', Rodon J. 🟨,
81', Bentancur R. ↓, Bergvall L. ↑,
82', Porro P. 🟨,
85', Tel M. ↓, Maddison J. ↑,
85', Udogie D. ↓, Spence D. ↑,
90+3', Tanaka A. ↓, Longstaff S. ↑,
90+5', De Zerbi R. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tottenham won 5.

Tottenham has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Leeds is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Tottenham is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Tottenham: Davies B. (Ankle Injury) Kudus M. (Muscle Injury) Kulusevski D. (Knee Injury) Odobert W. (Knee Injury) Romero C. (Knee Injury) Simons X. (Knee Injury) Solanke D. (Muscle Injury) Vicario G. (Groin Injury)

There will not play in Leeds: Gruev I. (Knee Injury) Gudmundsson G. (Muscle Injury) Okafor N. (Calf Injury)

There are questionable in Leeds: Struijk P. (Hip Injury)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Tottenham won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:11. (average 2.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Tottenham won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 3:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Leeds	6	2	3	1	8:5	3	9
20	Tottenham	5	0	2	3	2:8	-6	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tottenham Hotspur
English Premier League
03.05.26	Aston Villa - Tottenham Hotspur	1:2 ✺
25.04.26	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Tottenham Hotspur	0:1 ✺
18.04.26	Tottenham Hotspur - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:2 ✺
12.04.26	Sunderland - Tottenham Hotspur	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Tottenham Hotspur - Nottingham Forest	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWTLL
- Leeds United
English Premier League
01.05.26	Leeds United - Burnley	3:1 ✺
English FA Cup
26.04.26	Chelsea - Leeds United	1:0 ✺
English Premier League
22.04.26	Bournemouth - Leeds United	2:2 ✺
18.04.26	Leeds United - Wolverhampton Wanderers	3:0 ✺
13.04.26	Manchester United - Leeds United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
04.10.25	Leeds United - Tottenham Hotspur	1:2
28.05.23	Leeds United - Tottenham Hotspur	1:4
12.11.22	Tottenham Hotspur - Leeds United	4:3
26.02.22	Leeds United - Tottenham Hotspur	0:4
21.11.21	Tottenham Hotspur - Leeds United	2:1
08.05.21	Leeds United - Tottenham Hotspur	3:1
02.01.21	Tottenham Hotspur - Leeds United	3:0

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