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Sunderland - Manchester United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • Premier League - Round 36
  • Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday
  • Location: Stadium of Light (Sunderland)
  • Referee: Attwell S. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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    Sunderland Manchester United
    Sunderland Manchester United
    1 X 2
    #Advertisement. GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ 3.7 3.7 1.95
    betsson 3.7 3.7 2
    Bet_in_Asia 3.94 3.72 1.99
    GGBet 3.69 3.71 2.04 Watch and Bet Watch
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    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.78 ↓
    (3.97)    		 3.69 ↓
    (3.75)    		 1.98 ↑
    (1.87)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

    • The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

    #Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

    Current Win Probability

    Sunderland
    25.4%    		Draw
    26.1%    		Manchester United
    48.5%

    Initial Probability

    (when we started the analysis)
    24% 25.3% 50.7%

    Our Initial ML Estimation

    23.2% 24.5% 52.4%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sunderland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Manchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    8.7% 15.2% 76.1%

    Sunderland - Manchester United Predictions

  • Users Predictions: 46 users predict this event. Sunderland will win (votes: 4 - 8.7%). Man Utd will win (votes: 35 - 76.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 15.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Man Utd: 63.8% – 88.4%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Man Utd (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -0.5 - Man Utd (2.14) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Man Utd (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
    22. NetherlandsRoefs R. (G)
      6. NetherlandsGeertruida L.
    20. FranceMukiele N.
    15. ParaguayAlderete O.
    17. MozambiqueMandava R.
    34. SwitzerlandXhaka G. (C)
    27. DRSadiki N.
    32. NorthernHume T.
    28. FranceLe Fee E.
      7. MoroccoTalbi C.
      9. NetherlandsBrobbey B.
    		31. BelgiumLammens S. (G)
      3. MoroccoMazraoui N.
      5. EnglandMaguire H.
      6. ArgentinaMartinez Li.
    23. EnglandShaw L.
      7. EnglandMount M.
    37. EnglandMainoo K.
    16. IvoryDiallo A.
      8. PortugalFernandes B. (C)
    10. BrazilCunha M.
    11. NetherlandsZirkzee J.
    Substitutes
    10. EcuadorAngulo N.
    37. IvoryBi J. T.
      3. LatviaCirkin D.
    19. SenegalDiarra H.
    31. SwedenEllborg M. (G)
    18. HaitiIsidor W.
    12. SpainMayenda E.
    13. EnglandO'Nien L.
    11. EnglandRigg C.
    		  1. TurkeyBayindir A. (G)
      2. PortugalDalot D.
    13. DenmarkDorgu P.
    38. EnglandFletcher J.
    39. ScotlandFletcher T.
    26. EnglandHeaven A.
    12. NetherlandsMalacia T.
    19. CameroonMbeumo B.
    15. FranceYoro L.
    Coaches
         FranceLe Bris R.
    		     EnglandCarrick M.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (0 - 0)
    • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
    • 54', Mount M. 🟨,
    • 58', Zirkzee J. 🟨,
    • 65', Zirkzee J. ↓, Dorgu P. ↑,
    • 75', Diallo A. ↓, Mbeumo B. ↑,
    • 79', Talbi C. ↓, Angulo N. ↑,
    • 90', Hume T. ↓, Mayenda E. ↑,
    • 90+3', Cunha M. 🟨,

    Preview

  • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
  • Man Utd is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sunderland won 1.
  • Sunderland has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
  • Man Utd is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
  • Sunderland may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  • In this match, Man Utd is seen as the favorite.
  • There will not play in Sunderland: Ballard D. (Red Card) Mundle R. (Hamstring Injury)
  • There will not play in Man Utd: de Ligt M. (Back Injury)
  • There are questionable in Sunderland: Angulo N. (Muscle Injury) Traore B. (Knee Injury)
  • There are questionable in Man Utd: Sesko B. (Leg Injury)
  • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Sunderland won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 11:25. (average 0.8:1.8).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Sunderland won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.9:1.4).

    • Outrights of English Premier League for now
    Sunderland: 0.15%

    Standings

    PlWDLDiffPts
    12Manchester Utd51228:805
    14Sunderland51136:10-44

    Last Results with these Odds

    Manchester United - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 50.7%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

    Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Sunderland AFC
    English Premier League
    02.05.26 Wolverhampton Wanderers - Sunderland 1:1 ✺
    24.04.26 Sunderland - Nottingham Forest 0:5 ✺
    19.04.26 Aston Villa - Sunderland 4:3 ✺
    12.04.26 Sunderland - Tottenham Hotspur 1:0 ✺
    22.03.26 Newcastle United - Sunderland 1:2 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8
    TLLWW
    - Manchester United
    English Premier League
    03.05.26 Manchester United - Liverpool 3:2 ✺
    27.04.26 Manchester United - Brentford 2:1 ✺
    18.04.26 Chelsea - Manchester United 0:1 ✺
    13.04.26 Manchester United - Leeds United 1:2 ✺
    20.03.26 Bournemouth - Manchester United 2:2 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5
    WWWLT
    Latest Head to Head
    English Premier League
    04.10.25 Manchester United - Sunderland 2:0
    09.04.17 Sunderland - Manchester United 0:3
    26.12.16 Manchester United - Sunderland 3:1
    13.02.16 Sunderland - Manchester United 2:1
    26.09.15 Manchester United - Sunderland 3:0
    28.02.15 Manchester United - Sunderland 2:0
    24.08.14 Sunderland - Manchester United 1:1
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Sunderland AFC
    UEFA Europa League
    15.10.26 Torreense - Sunderland ✺
    English Premier League
    10.10.26 Sunderland - Brighton & Hove Albion ✺
    - Manchester United
    UEFA Champions League
    13.10.26 Atlético Madrid - Manchester United ✺
    English Premier League
    10.10.26 Manchester United - Tottenham Hotspur ✺

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    About TVEvents

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