Match Info

Premier League - Round 37

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Elland Road (Leeds) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Oliver M. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	CANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport OTT 4, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	16:00	SuperSport 4
Argentina	11:00	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	18:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	00:00	Stan Sport
Bangladesh	20:00	Toffee Live
Belgium	16:00	Play Sports 1
Bolivia	10:00	ESPN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	16:00	Arena Sport 4P
Brazil	11:00	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	17:00	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	10:00	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 2 DRM, fubo Sports Network, FuboTV
Chile	10:00	Disney+
China	22:00	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	09:00	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	16:00	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	17:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech Republic	16:00	CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	16:00	Viaplay
Ecuador	09:00	ESPN
Europe	—	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic
Finland	17:00	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
France	16:00	CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 3, CANAL+ Sport 360, CANAL+ Sport
Germany	16:00	Sky Go Germany
Greece	17:00	Nova Sports 2
Hong Kong	22:00	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1, Now Sports Premier League TV
Hungary	16:00	Match 4
Iceland	14:00	SÝN, SÝN Sport 4
India	19:30	Disney+ Hotstar, Star Sports Select 1
Indonesia	21:00	Vidio
Ireland	15:00	NOW
Israel	17:00	Sport 2
Japan	23:00	U-NEXT
Kenya	17:00	Gotv
Kosovo	16:00	Arena Premium 3, Arena Premium 4, SuperSport 4
Malaysia	22:00	Astro Go, Astro Premier League 3, Canal+, Sooka
Maldives	19:00	Medianet
Malta	16:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	08:00	HBO Max
Myanmar	20:30	Canal+ Myanmar
Nepal	19:45	Kantipur Max
Netherlands	16:00	Viaplay
New Zealand	02:00	Sky Sport Premier League
Nigeria	15:00	Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport OTT 4, SuperSport Premier League
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	16:00	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Pakistan	19:00	ARY ZAP
Paraguay	10:00	ESPN
Peru	09:00	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	22:00	Setanta Sports
Poland	16:00	Canal+ Extra 6, CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	15:00	DAZN 3, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	17:00	Voyo
Serbia	16:00	Arena Premium 3, Arena Premium 4
Singapore	22:00	Hub Premier 1
Slovakia	16:00	Voyo
Slovenia	16:00	Arena Sport 1
South Africa	16:00	SuperSport OTT 4, SuperSport Premier League
South Korea	23:00	Coupang Play
Spain	16:00	DAZN 1 Bar Espana, DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana
Sweden	16:00	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	16:00	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	22:00	ELTA Sports 2
Thailand	21:00	AIS PLAY
Turkey	17:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN Sports 4, Digiturk
United Kingdom	15:00	BBC Radio 5 Live, NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD
Uruguay	11:00	Disney+
Usa	10:00	NBC Sports App, NBC, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock, SiriusXM FC, Telemundo, USA Network
Venezuela	10:00	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	21:00	FPT Play


	Leeds United		Brighton & Hove Albion

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.6	2.1
	3.1	3.7	2.15
	3.35	3.55	2.15
	3.45	3.6	2.19
	3.31	3.78	2.16	Watch
	3.3	3.4	2.1
	3.5	3.6	2.22	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↑ (2.93)	3.6 ↓ (3.67)	2.15 ↓ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leeds United
28.8%

Draw
26.6%

Brighton & Hove Albion
44.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.8%

26.2%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

25.8%

41.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leeds United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Brighton & Hove Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leeds United than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brighton & Hove Albion than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.9%	24.1%	37.9%

Leeds United - Brighton & Hove Albion Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Leeds will win (votes: 11 - 37.9%). Brighton & Hove will win (votes: 11 - 37.9%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 24.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leeds: 20.2% – 55.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Brighton & Hove (1.54) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Brighton & Hove Albion will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Brighton & Hove (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Darlow K. (G) 6. Rodon J. 15. Bijol J. 23. Bornauw S. 7. James D. 18. Stach A. 4. Ampadu E. (C) 22. Tanaka A. 24. Justin J. 9. Calvert-Lewin D. 11. Aaronson B.	1. Verbruggen B. (G) 34. Veltman J. 6. van Hecke J. P. 5. Dunk L. (C) 29. De Cuyper M. 17. Baleba C. 30. Gross P. 24. Kadioglu F. 13. Hinshelwood J. 11. Minteh Y. 18. Welbeck D.
Substitutes
25. Byram S. 47. Chadwick-Chaplin R. 51. Cresswell A. 29. Gnonto W. 65. Lienou J. 8. Longstaff S. 1. Lucas Perri (G) 14. Nmecha L. 10. Piroe J.	26. Ayari Y. 21. Boscagli O. 25. Gomez D. 19. Kostoulas C. 7. March S. 20. Milner J. 33. O'Riley M. 10. Rutter G. 23. Steele J. (G)
Coaches
Farke D.	Hurzeler F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', James D. ↓, Gnonto W. ↑,
60', Tanaka A. ↓, Longstaff S. ↑,
60', Aaronson B. ↓, Nmecha L. ↑,
65', Welbeck D. ↓, Rutter G. ↑,
65', Veltman J. ↓, Gomez D. ↑,
74', Stach A. ↓, Piroe J. ↑,
82', Baleba C. ↓, Ayari Y. ↑,
82', Hinshelwood J. ↓, Kostoulas C. ↑,
90+1', Bornauw S. ↓, Byram S. ↑,
90+3', Minteh Y. ↓, March S. ↑,
90+6', 1 - 0, Calvert-Lewin D. ⚽,
90+7', Calvert-Lewin D. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 14 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leeds won 0.

Leeds has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Brighton & Hove is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Leeds may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Brighton & Hove is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Leeds: Bogle J. (Hamstring Injury) Buonanotte F. (Hamstring Injury) Gruev I. (Knee Injury) Gudmundsson G. (Muscle Injury) Okafor N. (Calf Injury)

There will not play in Brighton & Hove: Mitoma K. (Thigh Injury) Tzimas S. (Knee Injury) Webster A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Leeds: Struijk P. (Hip Injury)

There are questionable in Brighton & Hove: Gomez D. (Knee Injury) Wieffer M. (Injury)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Leeds won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 12:30. (average 0.7:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Leeds won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1.1:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Brighton	8	5	1	2	23:7	16	16
7	Leeds	8	2	5	1	9:6	3	11

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Brighton: 4.11% Leeds: 0.59%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leeds United
English Premier League
11.05.26	Tottenham Hotspur - Leeds United	1:1 ✺
01.05.26	Leeds United - Burnley	3:1 ✺
English FA Cup
26.04.26	Chelsea - Leeds United	1:0 ✺
English Premier League
22.04.26	Bournemouth - Leeds United	2:2 ✺
18.04.26	Leeds United - Wolverhampton Wanderers	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TWLTW
- Brighton & Hove Albion
English Premier League
09.05.26	Brighton & Hove Albion - Wolverhampton Wanderers	3:0 ✺
02.05.26	Newcastle United - Brighton & Hove Albion	3:1 ✺
21.04.26	Brighton & Hove Albion - Chelsea	3:0 ✺
18.04.26	Tottenham Hotspur - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:2 ✺
11.04.26	Burnley - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
01.11.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - Leeds United	3:0
11.03.23	Leeds United - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:2
27.08.22	Brighton & Hove Albion - Leeds United	1:0
15.05.22	Leeds United - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:1
27.11.21	Brighton & Hove Albion - Leeds United	0:0
01.05.21	Brighton & Hove Albion - Leeds United	2:0
16.01.21	Leeds United - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:1

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