Match Info

Premier League - Round 37

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Elland Road (Leeds)

Referee: Oliver M. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport OTT 4, SuperSport Premier League
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Denmark	Viaplay
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Usa	NBC Sports App, NBC, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock, SiriusXM FC, Telemundo, USA Network
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	FPT Play


	Leeds United		Brighton & Hove Albion

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.6	2.1
	3.1	3.7	2.15
	3.35	3.55	2.15
	3.45	3.6	2.19
	3.31	3.78	2.16	Watch
	3.3	3.4	2.1
	3.5	3.6	2.22	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↑ (2.93)	3.6 ↓ (3.67)	2.15 ↓ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leeds United
28.8%

Draw
26.6%

Brighton & Hove Albion
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

26.2%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

25.6%

41.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leeds United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Brighton & Hove Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leeds United than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brighton & Hove Albion than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.9%	24.1%	37.9%

Leeds United - Brighton & Hove Albion Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Leeds will win (votes: 11 - 37.9%). Brighton & Hove will win (votes: 11 - 37.9%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 24.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leeds: 20.2% – 55.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Brighton & Hove (1.54) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Brighton & Hove Albion will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Brighton & Hove (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Darlow K. (G) 6. Rodon J. 15. Bijol J. 23. Bornauw S. 7. James D. 18. Stach A. 4. Ampadu E. (C) 22. Tanaka A. 24. Justin J. 9. Calvert-Lewin D. 11. Aaronson B.	1. Verbruggen B. (G) 34. Veltman J. 6. van Hecke J. P. 5. Dunk L. (C) 29. De Cuyper M. 17. Baleba C. 30. Gross P. 24. Kadioglu F. 13. Hinshelwood J. 11. Minteh Y. 18. Welbeck D.
Substitutes
25. Byram S. 47. Chadwick-Chaplin R. 51. Cresswell A. 29. Gnonto W. 65. Lienou J. 8. Longstaff S. 1. Lucas Perri (G) 14. Nmecha L. 10. Piroe J.	26. Ayari Y. 21. Boscagli O. 25. Gomez D. 19. Kostoulas C. 7. March S. 20. Milner J. 33. O'Riley M. 10. Rutter G. 23. Steele J. (G)
Coaches
Farke D.	Hurzeler F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', James D. ↓, Gnonto W. ↑,
60', Tanaka A. ↓, Longstaff S. ↑,
60', Aaronson B. ↓, Nmecha L. ↑,
65', Welbeck D. ↓, Rutter G. ↑,
65', Veltman J. ↓, Gomez D. ↑,
74', Stach A. ↓, Piroe J. ↑,
82', Baleba C. ↓, Ayari Y. ↑,
82', Hinshelwood J. ↓, Kostoulas C. ↑,
90+1', Bornauw S. ↓, Byram S. ↑,
90+3', Minteh Y. ↓, March S. ↑,
90+6', 1 - 0, Calvert-Lewin D. ⚽,
90+7', Calvert-Lewin D. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 14 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leeds won 0.

Leeds has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Brighton & Hove is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Leeds may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Brighton & Hove is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Leeds: Bogle J. (Hamstring Injury) Buonanotte F. (Hamstring Injury) Gruev I. (Knee Injury) Gudmundsson G. (Muscle Injury) Okafor N. (Calf Injury)

There will not play in Brighton & Hove: Mitoma K. (Thigh Injury) Tzimas S. (Knee Injury) Webster A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Leeds: Struijk P. (Hip Injury)

There are questionable in Brighton & Hove: Gomez D. (Knee Injury) Wieffer M. (Injury)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Leeds won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 12:30. (average 0.7:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Leeds won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1.1:1.4).

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Brighton: 2.57% Leeds: 0.58%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Brighton	5	3	1	1	16:5	11	10
5	Leeds	5	2	3	0	7:3	4	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leeds United
English Premier League
11.05.26	Tottenham Hotspur - Leeds United	1:1 ✺
01.05.26	Leeds United - Burnley	3:1 ✺
English FA Cup
26.04.26	Chelsea - Leeds United	1:0 ✺
English Premier League
22.04.26	Bournemouth - Leeds United	2:2 ✺
18.04.26	Leeds United - Wolverhampton Wanderers	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TWLTW
- Brighton & Hove Albion
English Premier League
09.05.26	Brighton & Hove Albion - Wolverhampton Wanderers	3:0 ✺
02.05.26	Newcastle United - Brighton & Hove Albion	3:1 ✺
21.04.26	Brighton & Hove Albion - Chelsea	3:0 ✺
18.04.26	Tottenham Hotspur - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:2 ✺
11.04.26	Burnley - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
01.11.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - Leeds United	3:0
11.03.23	Leeds United - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:2
27.08.22	Brighton & Hove Albion - Leeds United	1:0
15.05.22	Leeds United - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:1
27.11.21	Brighton & Hove Albion - Leeds United	0:0
01.05.21	Brighton & Hove Albion - Leeds United	2:0
16.01.21	Leeds United - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:1

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