The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Reading 36.4%
Draw 29.8%
Sunderland 33.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.6%
28.9%
34.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.7%
28.8%
34.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Reading has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
Sunderland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reading than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
24.2%
42.4%
33.3%
Reading - Sunderland Predictions
Users Predictions:
33 users predict this event. Reading will win (votes: 8 - 24.2%). Sunderland will win (votes: 11 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 42.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.5% – 59.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs) and 10).
Reading has the most likely position - 20 (5.7%), has project points - 58, has currently - 15, has a small chance of relegated (14%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (11%), has a very small chance of promoted (4%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Sunderland has the most likely position - 14 (5.39%), has project points - 58, has currently - 11, has a small chance of relegated (15%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (11%), has a very small chance of promoted (4%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality38, small importance23, small match rating30. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Reading is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Sunderland is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Sunderland could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
There will not play in Reading: Azeez F.
(Injury)
Ejaria O.
(Injury)
Meite Y.
(Injury)
Moore L.
(Injury)
There will not play in Sunderland: Ballard D.
(Injury)
Huggins N.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Reading: Dann S.
(Injury)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Reading won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-7.
Including matches at home between the teams Reading won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.