Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 43

Date: 18 April 2023, Tuesday

Location: Gander Green Lane (London)

Referee: Rock D. (Eng)


	Sutton United		Northampton Town

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.1	2.55
	2.8	3.1	2.55
	2.75	3	2.65
	3.04	3.13	2.6
	2.9	3	2.55
	2.91	3.14	2.53	Watch
	2.8	3	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (2.63)	3.07 ↑ (3)	2.56 ↓ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sutton United
32.7%

Draw
30.6%

Northampton Town
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

30.8%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

31.2%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sutton United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Northampton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	50%	16.7%

Sutton United - Northampton Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Sutton will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Northampton will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).

Sutton has the most likely position - 10 (38.25%), project points - 62, currently - 57, not chance of relegated, not chance of prom. playoffs.

Northampton has the most likely position - 2 (28.96%), project points - 80, currently - 74, not chance of relegated, a chance of prom. playoffs (46%), a good chance of promoted (62%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 10, importance 50, small match rating 30. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Sutton is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Northampton is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Sutton won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Sutton won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sutton United
English League Two
15.04.23	Sutton United - Leyton Orient	0:2 ✺
10.04.23	Bradford City - Sutton United	3:1 ✺
07.04.23	Sutton United - Stockport County	0:1 ✺
01.04.23	Walsall - Sutton United	1:1 ✺
25.03.23	Mansfield Town - Sutton United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLLTT
- Northampton Town
English League Two
15.04.23	Carlisle United - Northampton Town	0:0 ✺
10.04.23	Northampton Town - Gillingham	2:1 ✺
07.04.23	Newport County - Northampton Town	3:0 ✺
01.04.23	Northampton Town - Stevenage Borough	1:1 ✺
25.03.23	Doncaster Rovers - Northampton Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
25.10.22	Northampton Town - Sutton United	2:2
22.01.22	Sutton United - Northampton Town	0:0
02.10.21	Northampton Town - Sutton United	0:2

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