Match Info

ENGLAND: FA CUP - 1/128-FINALS

Date: 5 November 2022, Saturday

Location: Gander Green Lane (London)


	Sutton United		Farnborough

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.33	7
	1.47	4.4	5.5
	1.5	4.55	5.75
	1.48	4.5	5.8
	1.49	4.54	5.74
	1.44	4.2	6
	1.45	4.55	5.8	Watch
	1.49	4.5	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.45)	4.45 ↑ (4.29)	5.95 ↓ (6.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sutton United
63.3%

Draw
21%

Farnborough
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.6%

21.8%

13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6%

22.5%

13.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sutton United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Farnborough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Farnborough than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Sutton United - Farnborough Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Sutton will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Farnborough will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Replayed if draw.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sutton won 4.

Recent matches Sutton is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Farnborough is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Sutton is absolute favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Sutton won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Sutton won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sutton United
English League Two
29.10.22	Stockport County - Sutton United	3:0 ✺
25.10.22	Northampton Town - Sutton United	2:2 ✺
22.10.22	Sutton United - Walsall	1:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
18.10.22	Sutton United - Oxford United	2:0 ✺
English League Two
15.10.22	AFC Wimbledon - Sutton United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LTTWW
- Farnborough
English National League South
29.10.22	Farnborough - Oxford City	2:1 ✺
25.10.22	Weymouth - Farnborough	0:1 ✺
22.10.22	Dover Athletic - Farnborough	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
15.10.22	Farnborough - Biggleswade Town	7:0 ✺
English National League South
08.10.22	Worthing - Farnborough	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.6 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
31.01.15	Sutton United - Farnborough	2:0
18.10.14	Farnborough - Sutton United	0:1
08.03.14	Farnborough - Sutton United	1:2
14.09.13	Sutton United - Farnborough	3:3
13.04.13	Farnborough - Sutton United	1:3
16.03.13	Sutton United - Farnborough	0:1
28.04.12	Sutton United - Farnborough	N/A

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