Match Info

Date: 18 October 2022, Tuesday

Location: Gander Green Lane (London)


	Sutton United		Oxford United

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.5	1.73
	3	3.3	2.15
	3.15	3.4	2.05
	4.78	3.96	1.68
	2.9	3.2	2.2
	3.64	3.52	1.87
	3.35	3.5	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.53 ↑ (2.45)	3.48 ↑ (3.35)	1.95 ↓ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sutton United
26.1%

Draw
26.5%

Oxford United
47.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

26.7%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

23%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sutton United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sutton United's form might have worsened.

Oxford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Oxford United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (+16.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sutton United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (-15.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oxford United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	22.2%	55.6%

Sutton United - Oxford United Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Sutton will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Oxford will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Oxford: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

The competitors look crappy now.

Oxford will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sutton United
English League Two
15.10.22	AFC Wimbledon - Sutton United	0:1 ✺
08.10.22	Sutton United - Tranmere Rovers	0:2 ✺
04.10.22	Stevenage Borough - Sutton United	3:0 ✺
01.10.22	Gillingham - Sutton United	1:0 ✺
24.09.22	Sutton United - Salford City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLLLL
- Oxford United
English League One
15.10.22	Exeter City - Oxford United	2:4 ✺
08.10.22	Oxford United - Wycombe Wanderers	0:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
04.10.22	Oxford United - Chelsea U21	1:2 ✺
English League One
01.10.22	Charlton Athletic - Oxford United	1:1 ✺
17.09.22	Oxford United - Milton Keynes Dons	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLLTL

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