The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Queens Park Rangers 39.8%
Draw 27.7%
Swansea City 32.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
39.9%
27.7%
32.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.7%
28.2%
31.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Queens Park Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
Swansea City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Queens Park Rangers than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
11.1%
33.3%
55.6%
Queens Park Rangers - Swansea City Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. QPR will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Swansea will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Swansea: 23.1% โ 88.1%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (1.71) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Charles P. (G) 2. Adamson K. 3. Dunne J. (C) 5. Edwards R. 12. Kemper B. 40. Varane J. 17. Poku K. 18. Kamara G. 20. Vale H. 11. Smyth P. 22. Kone R.
22. Vigouroux L. (G) 26. Lissah F. 5. Cabango B. (C) 23. Welsh S. 14. Tymon J. 6. Stamenic M. 30. Opoku J. 8. Just E. 46. Eustaquio S. 7. Widell M. 33. Idah A.
Substitutes
23. Alemayehu Mulugeta I. 19. Cirkin D. 7. Dembele K. 26. Kolli R. 4. Morrison L. 25. Obikwu J. 14. Saito K. 33. Scarlett L. 13. Ward C. (G)
10. Eom Ji-Sung 1. Fisher A. (G) 17. Franco G. 4. Fulton J. 12. Monga J. 20. Parente T. 3. Seelt J. 31. Stewart R. 9. Vipotnik Z.
Coaches
Stephan J.
Emanuel Soares Matos V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (4 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Kone R. ⚽, Smyth P. (A),
10', 2 - 0, Kone R. ⚽, Poku K. (A),
14', Vigouroux L. 🟨,
15', 3 - 0, Kone R. (Penalty Awarded),
16', Kone R. 🟨,
34', Just E. 🟨,
45+1', 4 - 0, Dunne J. ⚽, Vale H. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Welsh S. ↓, Seelt J. ↑,
46', Just E. ↓, Fulton J. ↑,
54', Stamenic M. 🟨,
59', Smyth P. 🟨,
64', Stamenic M. ↓, Franco G. ↑,
64', Opoku J. ↓, Eom Ji-Sung ↑,
72', Smyth P. ↓, Kolli R. ↑,
72', Poku K. ↓, Dembele K. ↑,
72', Vale H. ↓, Saito K. ↑,
74', Idah A. ↓, Vipotnik Z. ↑,
80', Kemper B. ↓, Cirkin D. ↑,
86', 5 - 0, Dunne J. ⚽, Kone R. (A),
87', Kone R. ↓, Alemayehu Mulugeta I. ↑,
Preview
A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 9th and 1st in the Promotion - Premier League).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, QPR won 2.
QPR has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Swansea is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Swansea may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
Confirmed absences for QPR: Chair I.
(Muscle Injury)
Lamptey T.
(Inactive)
Mbengue A. S.
(Knee Injury).
Confirmed absences for Swansea: Burgess C.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Key J.
(Muscle Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for QPR: Burrell R.
(Inactive).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, QPR has recorded 6 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 20:26 (averaging 1:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for QPR against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with 15:13 goals (averaging 1.5:1.3 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Swansea
12
7
2
3
16:13
3
23
8
QPR
12
5
5
2
20:12
8
20
Outrights of English League Championship for now
Swansea: 7.07% QPR: 5.65%
Last Results with these Odds
Queens Park Rangers - the odds 2.37 are the expected chance of winning is 39.93%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.
Swansea City - the odds 2.92 are the expected chance of winning is 32.41%, but this team recently wins 53% of matches with these odds.