Match Info

Championship - Round 44

Date: 21 April 2026, Tuesday

Location: Loftus Road (London)

Referee: Doughty L. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Queens Park Rangers		Swansea City

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.25	3.2	Watch
	2.31	3.43	3.04	Watch
	2.38	3.53	3.13
	2.28	3.54	3.01	Watch
	2.3	3.25	2.9
	2.33	3.36	3.3	Watch
	2.33	3.4	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.31)	3.39 ↑ (3.35)	3.08 ↑ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Queens Park Rangers
41.2%

Draw
28%

Swansea City
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

27.8%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

26.5%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Queens Park Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Swansea City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Queens Park Rangers than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	37.5%	25%

Queens Park Rangers - Swansea City Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. QPR will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). Swansea will win (votes: 4 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for QPR: 13.8% – 61.2%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Swansea (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Swansea (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Walsh J. (G) 2. Adamson K. 37. Edwards R. 5. Cook S. (C) 18. Norrington-Davies R. 20. Vale H. 15. Hayden I. 21. Morgan K. 17. Poku K. 26. Kolli R. 16. Burrell R.	22. Vigouroux L. (G) 41. Parker S. 5. Cabango B. (C) 15. Burgess C. 14. Tymon J. 4. Fulton J. 21. Walta L. 35. Ronald 17. Franco G. 7. Widell M. 33. Idah A.
Substitutes
10. Chair I. 28. Esquerdinha 29. Hamer B. (G) 22. Kone R. 24. Madsen N. 27. Mbengue A. S. 30. Smith T. 11. Smyth P. 40. Varane J.	20. Cullen L. 10. Eom J. 1. Fisher A. (G) 18. Gustavo Nunes 6. Stamenic M. 9. Vipotnik Z. 25. Ward J. 44. Woodward T. 8. Yalcouye M.
Coaches
Stephan J.	Emanuel Soares Matos V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Ronald ⚽,
23', Morgan K. 🟨,
29', Poku K. ↓, Smyth P. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', Adamson K. 🟨,
60', Norrington-Davies R. 🟨,
60', Kolli R. ↓, Chair I. ↑,
61', Cook S. ↓, Smith T. ↑,
61', Hayden I. ↓, Madsen N. ↑,
62', Burrell R. ↓, Kone R. ↑,
66', Franco G. ↓, Eom J. ↑,
66', Walta L. ↓, Yalcouye M. ↑,
67', Idah A. ↓, Vipotnik Z. ↑,
73', Parker S. ↓, Ward J. ↑,
76', Widell M. ↓, Cullen L. ↑,
80', 0 - 2, Vipotnik Z. (Penalty Awarded),
90', 1 - 2, Norrington-Davies R. ⚽,
90+3', Ronald 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, QPR won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

QPR could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in QPR: Dembele K. (Knee Injury) Larkeche Z. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Swansea: Galbraith E. (Inactive) Inoussa Z. (Back Injury) Key J. (Inactive) Samuels-Smith I. (Inactive)

There are questionable in QPR: Dunne J. (Inactive) Saito K. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, QPR won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 19:29. (average 1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, QPR won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 1.4:1.6).

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Swansea: 7.34% QPR: 3.11%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Swansea	9	6	2	1	15:7	8	20
6	QPR	9	3	5	1	11:8	3	14

Last Results with these Odds

Queens Park Rangers - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 40.31%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Swansea City - the odds 2.92 are the expected chance of winning is 31.89%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Queens Park Rangers
English League Championship
18.04.26	Millwall - Queens Park Rangers	2:0 ✺
11.04.26	Queens Park Rangers - Bristol City	0:0 ✺
06.04.26	Preston North End - Queens Park Rangers	1:1 ✺
03.04.26	Queens Park Rangers - Watford	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Queens Park Rangers - Portsmouth	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LTTWW
- Swansea City
English League Championship
18.04.26	Swansea City - Southampton	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Leicester City - Swansea City	0:1 ✺
06.04.26	Swansea City - Middlesbrough	2:2 ✺
03.04.26	Sheffield United - Swansea City	3:3 ✺
21.03.26	Swansea City - Coventry City	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LWTTL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
22.10.25	Swansea City - Queens Park Rangers	0:1
21.04.25	Queens Park Rangers - Swansea City	1:2
26.12.24	Swansea City - Queens Park Rangers	3:0
01.04.24	Swansea City - Queens Park Rangers	0:1
19.09.23	Queens Park Rangers - Swansea City	1:1
21.01.23	Queens Park Rangers - Swansea City	1:1
03.09.22	Swansea City - Queens Park Rangers	1:0

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