Match Info

Championship - Round 42

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadium of Light (Sunderland)

Referee: Hallam F. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	Net4+


	Sunderland		Swansea City

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.6	4.75	Watch
	1.85	3.5	4.33
	1.73	3.69	4.91	Watch
	1.74	3.63	4.99	Watch
	1.85	3.4	4.6
	1.75	3.62	4.93	Watch
	1.73	3.69	4.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.66)	3.59 ↓ (3.8)	4.77 ↓ (5.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sunderland
53.6%

Draw
26.5%

Swansea City
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.7%

24.8%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

24.1%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sunderland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Swansea City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.7%	6.7%	6.7%

Sunderland - Swansea City Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Swansea (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Sunderland will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sunderland will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Sunderland (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Swansea (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Patterson A. (G) 8. Browne A. 26. Mepham C. 13. O'Nien L. 32. Hume T. 4. Neil D. (C) 11. Rigg C. 10. Roberts P. 50. Jones H. 40. Watson T. 18. Isidor W.	22. Vigouroux L. (G) 2. Key J. 5. Cabango B. (C) 6. Darling H. 14. Tymon J. 4. Fulton J. 17. Franco G. 35. Ronald 8. O'Brien L. 10. Eom J. 20. Cullen L.
Substitutes
20. Abdul Samed S. 30. Aleksic M. 45. Anderson J. 51. Bainbridge O. 33. Hjelde L. F. 49. Lavery T. 28. Le Fee E. 12. Mayenda E. 21. Moore S. (G)	7. Allen J. 19. Bianchini F. 23. Christie C. 31. Cooper O. 36. Lloyd B. 33. McLaughlin J. (G) 26. Naughton K. 41. Parker S. 9. Vipotnik Z.
Coaches
Le Bris R.	Sheehan A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', O'Brien L. 🟨,
31', Mepham C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', 0 - 1, Ronald ⚽,
59', Rigg C. ↓, Le Fee E. ↑,
59', Jones H. ↓, Mayenda E. ↑,
61', Hume T. 🟨,
63', Fulton J. 🟨,
68', Fulton J. ↓, Cooper O. ↑,
68', Cullen L. ↓, Vipotnik Z. ↑,
74', Cabango B. 🟨,
77', Neil D. ↓, Abdul Samed S. ↑,
77', Watson T. ↓, Aleksic M. ↑,
84', Franco G. ↓, Allen J. ↑,
85', Ronald ↓, Bianchini F. ↑,
85', Browne A. ↓, Hjelde L. F. ↑,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sunderland won 1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Swansea could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Sunderland is a favorite.

There will not play in Sunderland: Abdul Samed S. (Calf Injury) Alese A. (Broken Leg) Ballard D. (Hamstring Injury) Cirkin D. (Hamstring Injury) Danns J. (Back Injury) Huggins N. (Groin Injury) Poveda I. (Leg Injury) Seelt J. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Swansea: Pedersen K. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Swansea: Peart-Harris M. (Back Injury)

Last 17 head-to-head matches Sunderland won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 15:27 (average 0.9:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Sunderland won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4:11 (average 0.5:1.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Sunderland - the odds 1.66 are the expected chance of winning is 56.73%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sunderland AFC
English League Championship
08.04.25	Norwich City - Sunderland	0:0 ✺
05.04.25	West Bromwich Albion - Sunderland	0:1 ✺
29.03.25	Sunderland - Millwall	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Coventry City - Sunderland	3:0 ✺
11.03.25	Sunderland - Preston North End	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TWWLT
- Swansea City
English League Championship
09.04.25	Swansea City - Plymouth Argyle	3:0 ✺
05.04.25	Swansea City - Derby County	1:0 ✺
29.03.25	Leeds United - Swansea City	2:2 ✺
15.03.25	Swansea City - Burnley	0:2 ✺
12.03.25	Watford - Swansea City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
14.12.24	Swansea City - Sunderland	2:3
24.02.24	Sunderland - Swansea City	1:2
04.11.23	Swansea City - Sunderland	0:0
14.01.23	Sunderland - Swansea City	1:3
08.10.22	Swansea City - Sunderland	2:1
English Premier League
13.05.17	Sunderland - Swansea City	0:2
10.12.16	Swansea City - Sunderland	3:0

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