Match Info

ENGLAND: FA CUP - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 28 January 2023, Saturday

Location: St. Mary's Stadium (Southampton)

Referee: Pawson C. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Paramount+
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Croatia	SportKlub
Denmark	Discovery+, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Malaysia	Astro
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool


	Southampton		Blackpool

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.5	7	Watch
	1.46	4.5	6.75
	1.5	4.35	7	Watch
	1.46	4.4	6.4
	1.47	4.63	7.11
	1.44	4	6.5	Watch
	1.46	4.6	6.65	Watch
	1.47	4.4	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.44)	4.42 ↓ (4.45)	6.73 ↑ (6.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Southampton
64.6%

Draw
21.4%

Blackpool
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65%

21%

14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.6%

20.2%

13.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Southampton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Blackpool has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blackpool than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	20%	30%

Southampton - Blackpool Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. S`hampton will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Blackpool will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for S`hampton: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Blackpool could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match S`hampton is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches S`hampton won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Southampton FC
English League Cup
24.01.23	Southampton - Newcastle United	0:1 ✺
English Premier League
21.01.23	Southampton - Aston Villa	0:1 ✺
14.01.23	Everton - Southampton	1:2 ✺
English League Cup
11.01.23	Southampton - Manchester City	2:0 ✺
English FA Cup
07.01.23	Crystal Palace - Southampton	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.9 LLWWW
- Blackpool
English League Championship
14.01.23	Watford - Blackpool	2:0 ✺
English FA Cup
07.01.23	Blackpool - Nottingham Forest	4:1 ✺
English League Championship
01.01.23	Blackpool - Sunderland	1:1 ✺
29.12.22	Blackpool - Sheffield United	1:2 ✺
26.12.22	Hull City - Blackpool	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LWTLT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
31.03.12	Blackpool - Southampton	3:0

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