Match Info

Date: 8 March 2022, Tuesday


	Swansea City		Fulham

	1	X	2
	5	3.75	1.7
	5	3.6	1.73
	5.35	3.75	1.71
	4.7	3.7	1.7
	5.34	3.72	1.74
	4.8	3.6	1.7
	4.85	3.92	1.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.01 ↑ (4.14)	3.72 ↑ (3.58)	1.72 ↓ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Swansea City
19%

Draw
25.6%

Fulham
55.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.8%

26.4%

50.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.9%

20.7%

64.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Swansea City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Fulham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fulham than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fulham could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	4.5%	85.5%

Swansea City - Fulham Predictions

Users Predictions: Fulham will win (94 of 110 users predict this - 85.45%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.86% – 92.04%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

No spectators.

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 16 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

Swansea has the most likely position - 16 (15.49%), has project points - 61, has currently - 44, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (2%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Fulham has the most likely position - 1 (90.78%), has project points - 95, has currently - 73, has not chance of relegated, has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very good chance of promoted (>99%), has a good chance of win league (91%).

This event has quality 52, small importance 21, match rating 36. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Swansea won 2.

Recent matches Swansea is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Fulham is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Swansea could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Fulham is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Swansea won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Swansea won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Swansea City
English League Championship
05.03.22	Swansea City - Coventry City	3:1 ✺
28.02.22	West Bromwich Albion - Swansea City	0:2 ✺
19.02.22	Sheffield United - Swansea City	4:0 ✺
13.02.22	Swansea City - Bristol City	3:1 ✺
08.02.22	Stoke City - Swansea City	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WWLWL
- Fulham FC
English League Championship
05.03.22	Fulham - Blackburn Rovers	2:0 ✺
26.02.22	Cardiff City - Fulham	0:1 ✺
23.02.22	Fulham - Peterborough United	2:1 ✺
19.02.22	Fulham - Huddersfield Town	1:2 ✺
12.02.22	Hull City - Fulham	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
29.09.21	Fulham - Swansea City	3:1
26.02.20	Fulham - Swansea City	1:0
29.11.19	Swansea City - Fulham	1:2
English Premier League
28.01.14	Swansea City - Fulham	2:0
23.11.13	Fulham - Swansea City	1:2
19.05.13	Swansea City - Fulham	0:3
29.12.12	Fulham - Swansea City	1:2

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