Match Info

Championship - Round 39

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Swansea.com Stadium (Swansea) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Martin S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	14:15	Disney+, FOX Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	04:15	beIN Connect
Brazil	14:15	Disney+
Bulgaria	19:15	Nova Sport
Canada	13:15	DAZN Canada
Croatia	18:15	Arena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	18:15	Viaplay
Finland	19:15	Viaplay
Greece	19:15	COSMOTE Sport 2, COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong Kong	01:15	myTV SUPER
Iceland	17:15	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
India	22:45	FanCode, FanCode
Ireland	17:15	NOW
Israel	19:15	Sport 2
Japan	02:15	DAZN Japan
Malta	18:15	GO TV, TSN Malta 7
Mexico	11:15	Disney+
Netherlands	18:15	Viaplay
New Zealand	06:15	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
North Macedonia	18:15	MaxTV GO
Norway	18:15	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Peru	12:15	Disney+
Serbia	18:15	Arena Sport 3
Singapore	01:15	mio Sports 1, mio Sports 3
Slovenia	18:15	Arena Sport 3
Sweden	18:15	Viaplay, V Sport Extra
Turkey	20:15	Exxen
United Kingdom	17:15	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go
Uruguay	14:15	Disney+
Usa	13:15	CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+
Venezuela	13:15	Disney+


	Swansea City		Coventry City

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.6	2.1	Watch
	3.1	3.5	2.25
	3.35	3.54	2.12	Watch
	3.41	3.52	2.22
	3.21	3.49	2.2	Watch
	3.2	3.3	2.1
	3.49	3.67	2.12	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.29 ↑ (3.19)	3.52 ↑ (3.48)	2.16 ↑ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Swansea City
28.9%

Draw
27%

Coventry City
44%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.2%

26.8%

44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

26.7%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Swansea City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

The chances for Coventry City have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coventry City than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.6%	23.5%	58.8%

Swansea City - Coventry City Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Swansea will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). Coventry will win (votes: 10 - 58.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Coventry: 35.4% – 82.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Vigouroux L. (G) 30. Galbraith E. 5. Cabango B. (C) 15. Burgess C. 14. Tymon J. 17. Franco G. 4. Fulton J. 35. Ronald 7. Widell M. 10. Eom J. 9. Vipotnik Z.	19. Rushworth C. (G) 27. van Ewijk M. 4. Thomas B. 22. Latibeaudiere J. 3. Dasilva J. 16. Onyeka F. 6. Grimes M. (C) 7. Sakamoto T. 23. Thomas-Asante B. 10. Mason-Clark E. 9. Simms E.
Substitutes
20. Cullen L. 1. Fisher A. (G) 18. Gustavo Nunes 33. Idah A. 16. Samuels-Smith I. 6. Stamenic M. 21. Walta L. 25. Ward J. 8. Yalcouye M.	21. Bidwell J. 28. Eccles J. 14. Esse R. 20. Kesler-Hayden K. 15. Kitching L. 24. Markelo J. 29. Torp V. 13. Wilson B. (G) 26. Woolfenden L.
Coaches
Emanuel Soares Matos V.	Lampard F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
30', Galbraith E. 🟨,
31', Fulton J. 🟨,
32', 0 - 1, Thomas-Asante B. (Penalty Awarded),
38', 0 - 2, Grimes M. ⚽,
43', 0 - 3, Sakamoto T. ⚽, Onyeka F. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Eom J. ↓, Ward J. ↑,
62', Thomas-Asante B. ↓, Eccles J. ↑,
67', Galbraith E. ↓, Stamenic M. ↑,
67', Fulton J. ↓, Yalcouye M. ↑,
67', Franco G. ↓, Cullen L. ↑,
70', Mason-Clark E. ↓, Markelo J. ↑,
71', Sakamoto T. ↓, Esse R. ↑,
72', Onyeka F. 🟨,
76', Tymon J. ↓, Samuels-Smith I. ↑,
82', Thomas B. ↓, Woolfenden L. ↑,
82', Dasilva J. ↓, Bidwell J. ↑,
89', Stamenic M. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swansea won 1.

Swansea has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Coventry is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Swansea may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Coventry is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Swansea: Idah A. (Groin Injury) Inoussa Z. (Injury)

There will not play in Coventry: Brau M. (Muscle Injury) Dovin O. (Knee Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Swansea won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.4:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Swansea won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Swansea	12	7	2	3	16:13	3	23

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Swansea: 7.2%

Last Results with these Odds

Swansea City - the odds 3.19 are the expected chance of winning is 29.2%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Swansea City
English League Championship
13.03.26	Wrexham - Swansea City	2:0 ✺
10.03.26	Portsmouth - Swansea City	1:2 ✺
07.03.26	Swansea City - Stoke City	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Ipswich Town - Swansea City	3:0 ✺
24.02.26	Swansea City - Preston North End	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWWLT
- Coventry City
English League Championship
14.03.26	Coventry City - Southampton	1:2 ✺
11.03.26	Coventry City - Preston North End	3:0 ✺
07.03.26	Bristol City - Coventry City	0:2 ✺
28.02.26	Coventry City - Stoke City	2:1 ✺
25.02.26	Sheffield United - Coventry City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
26.12.25	Coventry City - Swansea City	1:0
01.02.25	Swansea City - Coventry City	0:2
21.09.24	Coventry City - Swansea City	1:2
29.12.23	Coventry City - Swansea City	2:2
19.08.23	Swansea City - Coventry City	1:1
07.04.23	Swansea City - Coventry City	0:0
17.12.22	Coventry City - Swansea City	3:3

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