Match Info

Championship - Round 8

Date: 1 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: Loftus Road (London)

Referee: Ricardo R. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, TOD
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Croatia	Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
Hong-kong	myTV SUPER
Hungary	Match 4
Iceland	Viaplay
India	FanCode, FanCode
Ireland	NOW
Japan	DAZN Japan
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go
Malta	TSN Malta 1
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 4
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	Sport TV1
Singapore	mio Sports 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Extra
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Queens Park Rangers		Oxford United

	1	X	2
	2.01	3.4	3.5	Watch
	2.08	3.45	3.55	Watch
	2.13	3.54	3.6
	2.74	2.28	3.84	Watch
	2.14	3.45	3.4	Watch
	2.1	3.5	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (2.1)	3.27 ↓ (3.5)	3.57 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Queens Park Rangers
43.7%

Draw
29.4%

Oxford United
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Queens Park Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Oxford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Queens Park Rangers than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	8.3%	8.3%

Queens Park Rangers - Oxford United Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 19 Selected Experts predict this event. QPR (votes: 12 - 63.2%). Oxford (votes: 1 - 5.3%). Tie (votes: 6 - 31.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - QPR (1.30) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Queens Park Rangers will win (30 of 36 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.15% – 95.51%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 21 Selected Experts predict this event. QPR (votes: 13 - 61.9%). Oxford (votes: 2 - 9.5%). Tie (votes: 6 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nardi P. (G) 3. Dunne J. 5. Cook S. 27. Mbengue A. S. 18. Norrington-Davies R. 8. Field S. 15. Hayden I. 20. Vale H. 22. Kone R. 7. Dembele K. 12. Frey M.	1. Cumming J. (G) 15. Spencer B. 6. Helik M. 2. Long S. 26. Currie J. 7. Placheta P. 14. De Keersmaecker B. 8. Brannagan C. 50. Krastev F. 16. Prelec N. 27. Lankshear W.
Substitutes
16. Burrell R. 28. Esquerdinha 29. Hamer B. (G) 24. Madsen N. 21. Morgan K. 4. Morrison L. 14. Saito K. 11. Smyth P. 40. Varane J.	29. Davies B. 23. Dembele S. 19. Goodrham T. 12. Harris L. 9. Harris M. 21. Ingram M. (G) 22. Leigh G. 17. Mills S. 4. Vaulks W.
Coaches
Stephan J.	Rowett G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Krastev F. ↓, Dembele S. ↑,
60', Frey M. ↓, Burrell R. ↑,
60', Field S. ↓, Madsen N. ↑,
60', Dembele K. ↓, Saito K. ↑,
69', Lankshear W. ↓, Harris L. ↑,
69', Placheta P. ↓, Mills S. ↑,
74', Mbengue A. S. 🟨,
75', Vale H. ↓, Smyth P. ↑,
81', Hayden I. ↓, Varane J. ↑,
85', Harris L. 🟨,
87', Burrell R. 🟨,
90+3', Norrington-Davies R. 🟨,
90+3', Stephan J. 🟨,
90+5', Currie J. ↓, Leigh G. ↑,
90+5', Prelec N. ↓, Harris M. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, QPR won 3.

QPR is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Oxford has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Oxford has had a series of home games.

QPR might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in QPR: Chair I. (Muscle Injury) Larkeche Z. (Knee Injury) Poku K. (Hamstring Injury) Walsh J. (Wrist Injury)

There will not play in Oxford: Brown C. (Knee Injury) ter Haar Romeny O. (Foot Injury)

There are questionable in QPR: Clarke-Salter J. (Hip Injury)

There are questionable in Oxford: Phillips M. (Thigh Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, QPR won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, QPR won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Queens Park Rangers
English League Championship
27.09.25	Sheffield Wednesday - Queens Park Rangers	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Queens Park Rangers - Stoke City	1:0 ✺
13.09.25	Wrexham - Queens Park Rangers	1:3 ✺
30.08.25	Queens Park Rangers - Charlton Athletic	3:1 ✺
23.08.25	Coventry City - Queens Park Rangers	7:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 TWWWL
- Oxford United
English League Championship
27.09.25	Oxford United - Sheffield United	0:1 ✺
21.09.25	Bristol City - Oxford United	1:3 ✺
13.09.25	Oxford United - Leicester City	2:2 ✺
30.08.25	Oxford United - Coventry City	2:2 ✺
English League Cup
27.08.25	Oxford United - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 LWTTL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
09.04.25	Oxford United - Queens Park Rangers	1:3
11.12.24	Queens Park Rangers - Oxford United	2:0
Club Friendly
29.07.23	Oxford United - Queens Park Rangers	5:0
English League Cup
24.08.21	Queens Park Rangers - Oxford United	2:0
Club Friendly
29.08.20	Oxford United - Queens Park Rangers	1:0
20.07.19	Oxford United - Queens Park Rangers	1:2

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