The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Birmingham City 47%
Draw 30.1%
Swansea City 22.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
50.1%
27.6%
22.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.2%
28.8%
21.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Birmingham City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
Swansea City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Birmingham City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
55.6%
33.3%
11.1%
Birmingham City - Swansea City Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Birmingham will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Swansea will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Birmingham: 23.1% โ 88.1%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Birmingham (votes: 2 - 40%). Swansea (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Allsop R. (G) 26. Osayi-Samuel B. 4. Klarer C. (C) 6. Robinson J. 20. Cochrane A. 8. Paik Seung-Ho 24. Iwata T. 28. Stansfield J. 30. Koumas L. 10. Gray D. 33. Ducksch M.
22. Vigouroux L. (G) 2. Key J. 5. Cabango B. (C) 15. Burgess C. 14. Tymon J. 17. Franco G. 30. Galbraith E. 35. Ronald 6. Stamenic M. 27. Inoussa Z. 9. Vipotnik Z.
Substitutes
25. Beadle J. (G) 41. Cashin E. 7. Doyle T. 17. Dykes L. 9. Furuhashi K. 2. Laird E. 12. Leonard M. 5. Neumann P. 16. Roberts P.
26. Casey K. 20. Cullen L. 10. Eom J. 1. Fisher A. (G) 33. Idah A. 21. Manuel Hedilazio B. 16. Samuels-Smith I. 7. Widell M. 8. Yalcouye M.
Coaches
Davies C.
Sheehan A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Klarer C. 🟨,
18', Allsop R. 🟨,
34', Gray D. 🟨,
40', Osayi-Samuel B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Inoussa Z. 🟨,
67', Koumas L. ↓, Roberts P. ↑,
67', Osayi-Samuel B. ↓, Laird E. ↑,
67', Ducksch M. ↓, Furuhashi K. ↑,
74', Vipotnik Z. ↓, Idah A. ↑,
74', Inoussa Z. ↓, Eom J. ↑,
80', Cochrane A. ↓, Cashin E. ↑,
82', Tymon J. 🟨,
83', Paik Seung-Ho 🟨,
86', Cabango B. 🟨,
86', Paik Seung-Ho ↓, Doyle T. ↑,
87', Stansfield J. ↓, Dykes L. ↑,
89', Galbraith E. ↓, Yalcouye M. ↑,
90+4', Stamenic M. 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 0, Dykes L. ⚽, Roberts P. (A),
90+7', Ronald ↓, Widell M. ↑,
90+7', Franco G. ↓, Cullen L. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 1.
Birmingham has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Swansea is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Birmingham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Swansea has had a series of home games.
In this match, Birmingham is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Birmingham: Buchanan L.
(Injury)
Wright S.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Swansea: Fulton J.
(Injury)
Santos R.
(Knee Injury)
Stamenic M.
(Injury)
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:23. (average 1.3:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Birmingham won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.3:1.4).