Match Info

Championship - Round 7

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Swansea.com Stadium (Swansea)

Referee: Whitestone D. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Swansea City		Millwall

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.2	3.4	Watch
	2.18	3.27	3.47	Watch
	2.27	3.34	3.62
	2.22	3.22	3.43	Watch
	2	3.45	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (2)	3.3 ↓ (3.45)	3.53 ↓ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Swansea City
44.2%

Draw
28.9%

Millwall
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

27.4%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

27.1%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Swansea City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Millwall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.9%	23.8%	14.3%

Swansea City - Millwall Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Swansea will win (votes: 13 - 61.9%). Millwall will win (votes: 3 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 23.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Swansea: 41.1% – 82.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Swansea (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Millwall (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Millwall (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Swansea (votes: 2 - 25%). Millwall (votes: 2 - 25%). Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Vigouroux L. (G) 2. Key J. 5. Cabango B. (C) 15. Burgess C. 14. Tymon J. 6. Stamenic M. 30. Galbraith E. 35. Ronald 8. Yalcouye M. 27. Inoussa Z. 9. Vipotnik Z.	13. Benda S. (G) 18. Leonard R. 4. Crama T. 5. Cooper J. (C) 23. Bryan J. 7. Ballo T. 21. Luongo M. 49. Mazou-Sacko D. 22. Emakhu A. 39. Smallbone W. 19. Coburn J.
Substitutes
26. Casey K. 20. Cullen L. 10. Eom J. 1. Fisher A. (G) 17. Franco G. 4. Fulton J. 33. Idah A. 21. Manuel Hedilazio B. 16. Samuels-Smith I.	31. Bangura-Williams R. 15. Crocombe M. (G) 45. Harding W. 9. Ivanovic M. 17. Langstaff M. 8. Mitchell B. 10. Neghli C. 3. Sturge Z. 6. Taylor C.
Coaches
Sheehan A.	Neil A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, Vipotnik Z. ⚽, Ronald (A),
23', Cabango B. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 1, Coburn J. ⚽, Cooper J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Bryan J. 🟨,
68', Smallbone W. ↓, Langstaff M. ↑,
68', Ballo T. ↓, Neghli C. ↑,
72', Ronald ↓, Manuel Hedilazio B. ↑,
78', Coburn J. ↓, Ivanovic M. ↑,
78', Mazou-Sacko D. ↓, Mitchell B. ↑,
80', Yalcouye M. ↓, Idah A. ↑,
81', Leonard R. 🟨,
88', Emakhu A. ↓, Bangura-Williams R. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swansea won 1.

Swansea is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Millwall's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Swansea could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Swansea: Fulton J. (Injury) Santos R. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Millwall: Azeez F. (Ankle Injury) Doughty A. (Hamstring Injury) Ivanovic M. (Shoulder Injury) Jensen L. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Kelly D. (Hamstring Injury) McNamara D. (Knee Injury) Mitchell B. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Millwall: Cundle L. (Inactive) De Norre C. (Injury) Lovelace Z. (Knee Injury)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Swansea won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 1.1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Swansea won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 0.7:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Swansea City
English League Championship
20.09.25	Birmingham City - Swansea City	1:0 ✺
English League Cup
17.09.25	Swansea City - Nottingham Forest	3:2 ✺
English League Championship
13.09.25	Swansea City - Hull City	2:2 ✺
30.08.25	Sheffield Wednesday - Swansea City	0:2 ✺
English League Cup
26.08.25	Swansea City - Plymouth Argyle	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 LWTWW
- Millwall
English League Championship
22.09.25	Millwall - Watford	1:0 ✺
English League Cup
16.09.25	Crystal Palace - Millwall	2:1 penalties ✺
English League Championship
13.09.25	Charlton Athletic - Millwall	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	Millwall - Wrexham	0:2 ✺
English League Cup
26.08.25	Millwall - Coventry City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
26.04.25	Millwall - Swansea City	1:0
26.10.24	Swansea City - Millwall	0:1
04.05.24	Swansea City - Millwall	0:1
30.09.23	Millwall - Swansea City	0:3
14.03.23	Millwall - Swansea City	2:1
16.08.22	Swansea City - Millwall	2:2
05.04.22	Millwall - Swansea City	0:1

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