Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO PAULISTA - ROUND 12

Date: 5 March 2023, Sunday

Location: Estádio Municipal Walter Ribeiro (Sorocaba)


	São Bento		Red Bull Bragantino

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.1	2	Watch
	3.75	3.2	2
	3.7	3.2	1.95
	3.69	3.35	2.02
	3.6	3	2
	3.64	3.3	2.01	Watch
	3.45	3.15	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.62 ↑ (3.53)	3.19 ↑ (3)	2 ↓ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Bento
25.4%

Draw
28.8%

Red Bull Bragantino
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.7%

30.2%

44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27%

28.7%

41.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Bento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Red Bull Bragantino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Bento than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

São Bento - Red Bull Bragantino Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches São Bento won 2.

São Bento has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches RB Bragantino is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

RB Bragantino could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

RB Bragantino will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches São Bento won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-8.

Including matches at home between the teams São Bento won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC São Bento
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
26.02.23	Portuguesa - São Bento	0:0 ✺
21.02.23	São Bento - São Paulo	0:3 ✺
14.02.23	Botafogo SP - São Bento	1:0 ✺
11.02.23	São Bento - Guarani	0:1 ✺
08.02.23	Santos - São Bento	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TLLLL
- Red Bull Bragantino
Copa do Brasil
01.03.23	Bahia de Feira - Red Bull Bragantino	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
25.02.23	Red Bull Bragantino - Ituano	5:1 ✺
22.02.23	Palmeiras - Red Bull Bragantino	2:0 ✺
15.02.23	Água Santa - Red Bull Bragantino	1:0 ✺
11.02.23	Red Bull Bragantino - Mirassol	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 TWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
10.04.21	São Bento - Red Bull Bragantino	1:2
Brazilian Serie B
04.10.19	São Bento - Red Bull Bragantino	0:3
04.06.19	Red Bull Bragantino - São Bento	2:0
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
20.03.19	São Bento - Red Bull Bragantino	1:0
25.01.18	Red Bull Bragantino - São Bento	0:1
Brazilian Serie C
26.08.17	São Bento - Red Bull Bragantino	1:1
24.06.17	Red Bull Bragantino - São Bento	0:3

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