Match Info

Date: 13 July 2021, Tuesday


	São Paulo		Racing

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.4	5.25	Watch
	1.72	3.3	5.25
	1.74	3.2	5.25	Watch
	1.71	3.2	5.4
	1.72	3.37	5.82
	1.7	3.3	5.5	Watch
	1.74	3.42	5.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.69)	3.31 ↓ (3.62)	5.42 ↑ (5.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Paulo
54.4%

Draw
28.3%

Racing
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

25.9%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

15.6%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Racing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (-20.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with São Paulo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Racing could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.6%	25%	21.4%

São Paulo - Racing Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. São Paulo will win (votes: 15 - 53.6%). Racing will win (votes: 6 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for São Paulo: 35.1% – 72.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches São Paulo is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Racing is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Racing could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match São Paulo is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches São Paulo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Including matches at home between the teams São Paulo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- São Paulo FC
Brazilian Serie A
10.07.21	São Paulo - Bahia	1:0 ✺
07.07.21	Internacional RS - São Paulo	0:2 ✺
04.07.21	São Paulo - Red Bull Bragantino	1:2 ✺
30.06.21	Corinthians - São Paulo	0:0 ✺
27.06.21	Ceará - São Paulo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWLTT
- Racing Club de Avellaneda
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
04.06.21	Colón - Racing	3:0 ✺
31.05.21	Racing - Boca Juniors	1:0 penalties ✺
Copa Libertadores
25.05.21	Racing - Rentistas	3:0 ✺
18.05.21	São Paulo - Racing	0:1 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
16.05.21	Vélez Sársfield - Racing	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.5 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
18.05.21	São Paulo - Racing	0:1
05.05.21	Racing - São Paulo	0:0

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