The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Técnico Universitario 50.2%
Draw 29.3%
Guayaquil City 20.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.1%
28.9%
23%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.9%
28.4%
22.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Técnico Universitario has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
Guayaquil City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Técnico Universitario than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guayaquil City than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
33.3%
33.3%
Técnico Universitario - Guayaquil City Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Técnico Univ will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Guayaquil City will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Técnico Univ (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Guayaquil City (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Morales A. (G) 23. Mesa Mercado E. E. 85. Arce Y. 13. Anaya J. 5. Mena S. 25. Delgado B. 70. Castano M. 29. Cela A. 7. Estupinan L. (C) 8. Armas D. 10. Johan Bocanegra
1. Napa G. (G) 17. Ayovi Caicedo J. J. 3. Rodriguez Y. 29. Quinonez J. 6. Arias R. 14. Arroyo D. 20. Laurino S. 80. Gonzalez P. 23. Bolanos M. (C) 19. Naula A. 11. Mero E.
Substitutes
30. Arce K. 11. Arteaga C. 16. Caicedo J. 90. Caicedo W. 67. Carrasco Bonilla M. A. 53. Chilla R. 77. Garcia C. 33. Majao J. 14. Ona B. 1. Razzeto S. (G) 6. Torres Nazareno L. B.
51. Cabezas E. 33. Caicedo R. 7. Caicedo S. 21. Dorregaray D. 4. Ladines Calvache E. P. 70. Mancilla P. 16. Ordonez J. 9. Palma M. 12. Perea R. (G) 30. Pinos J. (G) 50. Rivadeneira F. 15. Sambonino K.
Coaches
Redin B.
Gavilanez P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
20', Castano M. 🟨,
39', Armas D. 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, Armas D. ⚽, Johan Bocanegra (A),
44', Estupinan L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
50', 2 - 0, Castano M. ⚽, Johan Bocanegra (A),
64', Quinonez J. ↓, Ladines Calvache E. P. ↑,
64', Laurino S. ↓, Mancilla P. ↑,
64', 2 - 1, Rodriguez Y. ⚽, Bolanos M. (A),
66', Delgado B. 🟨,
68', Castano M. ↓, Caicedo J. ↑,
68', Mesa Mercado E. E. ↓, Torres Nazareno L. B. ↑,
69', 2 - 2, Bolanos M. ⚽,
71', Gavilanez P. 🟥,
79', Delgado B. ↓, Ona B. ↑,
81', 2 - 3, Bolanos M. ⚽, Mero E. (A),
83', Naula A. 🟨,
84', Johan Bocanegra ↓, Arteaga C. ↑,
84', Gonzalez P. ↓, Sambonino K. ↑,
84', Estupinan L. ↓, Caicedo W. ↑,
90', Arias R. 🟨,
90', Mero E. ↓, Dorregaray D. ↑,
90+1', Arias R. ↓, Cabezas E. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Técnico Univ won 3.
Recent form of Técnico Univ has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Guayaquil City has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Técnico Univ is the team to beat.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Técnico Univ won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:16. (average 1.5:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Técnico Univ won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:7. (average 2.4:1).
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Morales A. (G) 
Anaya J. 
Laurino S. 
Razzeto S. (G) 
Palma M. 
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