The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tacoma Defiance 31.9%
Draw 29.1%
Orange County SC 39%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.8%
27.6%
39.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24%
20.2%
54.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tacoma Defiance has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
Orange County SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tacoma Defiance than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tacoma Defiance that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orange County SC than the current prediction. (+15.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Orange County SC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Tacoma Defiance - Orange County SC Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 8).
Tacoma has the most likely position - 7 (49.34%), has project points - 37, has currently - 30, has a small chance of playoffs (12%), has a very small chance of qtrs (3%), has a very small chance of semis (1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Orange County SC has the most likely position - 3 (57.44%), has project points - 46, has currently - 37, has a good chance of playoffs (92%), has a chance of qtrs (35%), has a small chance of semis (13%), has a very small chance of final (5%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).
Tacoma has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Orange County SC is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Tacoma could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Orange County SC have a series of home games.
Orange County SC will have a small advantage in this match.
Our prediction for today's Orange County SC to win the game is with odds 2.18.
Last 13 head-to-head matches Tacoma won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 17-22.
Including matches at home between the teams Tacoma won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-6.
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