Match Info

Date: 29 July 2021, Thursday


	Tacoma Defiance		San Diego Loyal

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.2	3.2	2.05
	3.15	3.3	2
	3.2	3	2.16
	3.41	3.18	2.26
	3.3	3	2.15
	3.24	3.13	2.18	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 ↑ (3.23)	3.14 ↓ (3.53)	2.13 ↑ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tacoma Defiance
28.1%

Draw
29.1%

San Diego Loyal
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

26.5%

44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.7%

19.8%

59.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tacoma Defiance has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

San Diego Loyal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tacoma Defiance than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tacoma Defiance that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego Loyal than the current prediction. (+16.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Diego Loyal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tacoma Defiance - San Diego Loyal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 and 6).

Tacoma has the most likely position - 6 (20.76%), has project points - 36, has currently - 13, has a chance of playoffs (26%), has a small chance of qtrs (9%), has a very small chance of semis (3%), has a very small chance of final (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

San Diego Loyal has the most likely position - 2 (45.54%), has project points - 50, has currently - 21, has a good chance of playoffs (88%), has a chance of qtrs (42%), has a chance of semis (18%), has a small chance of final (7%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).

Recent matches Tacoma is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

San Diego Loyal is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

San Diego Loyal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently San Diego Loyal have a series of home games.

San Diego Loyal will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Tacoma won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Tacoma won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tacoma Defiance
USL Championship
11.07.21	LA Galaxy II - Tacoma Defiance	1:1 ✺
06.07.21	Orange County SC - Tacoma Defiance	0:0 ✺
03.07.21	Las Vegas Lights - Tacoma Defiance	1:0 ✺
27.06.21	Tacoma Defiance - LA Galaxy II	2:0 ✺
23.06.21	Tacoma Defiance - Real Monarchs	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 TTLWT
- San Diego Loyal
USL Championship
24.07.21	San Diego Loyal - Phoenix Rising	0:1 ✺
14.07.21	San Diego Loyal - Orange County SC	2:1 ✺
03.07.21	San Diego Loyal - Sacramento Republic	1:1 ✺
29.06.21	San Diego Loyal - Oakland Roots	1:0 ✺
25.06.21	Las Vegas Lights - San Diego Loyal	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
13.05.21	Tacoma Defiance - San Diego Loyal	3:1
11.03.20	Tacoma Defiance - San Diego Loyal	1:2

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