Match Info
Segunda Division - Round 25Date: 18 October 2025, SaturdayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
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Tacuarembó |
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Albion Montevideo |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 Watch |
 |
2.82 |
2.82 |
2.48 |
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2.88 |
2.96 |
2.58 |
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1.61 |
3.69 |
5.48 |
Watch |
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2.8 |
2.8 |
2.53 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.53 ↓
(2.78) |
3.07 ↑
(2.88) |
3.27 ↑
(2.49) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Tacuarembó
38.5% | Draw
31.7% | Albion Montevideo
29.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tacuarembó has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tacuarembó's performance.Albion Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Albion Montevideo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tacuarembó than the current prediction. (-6.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tacuarembó that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albion Montevideo than the current prediction. (+7.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Albion Montevideo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Tacuarembó - Albion Montevideo Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Tacuarembó will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Albion will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tacuarembó (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 21', 1 - 0, Fagundez P. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 71', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 81', 🟥,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Apertura: )).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tacuarembó won 3.The current form of both teams is below expectations.Tacuarembó may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Tacuarembó won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.2:1.2).Including home matches between the teams, Tacuarembó won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
Last Results with these Odds
Albion Montevideo - the odds 2.49 are the expected chance of winning is 36.27%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Uruguayan Segunda Division | | | 27.07.25 | Albion Montevideo - Tacuarembó | 1:0 | | 20.10.24 | Tacuarembó - Albion Montevideo | 1:0 | | 11.07.24 | Albion Montevideo - Tacuarembó | 1:2 | | 21.04.24 | Albion Montevideo - Tacuarembó | 0:0 | | 19.11.23 | Albion Montevideo - Tacuarembó | 1:2 | | 09.07.23 | Tacuarembó - Albion Montevideo | 1:1 | | 20.11.20 | Albion Montevideo - Tacuarembó | 2:1 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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