Match Info

Meistriliiga - Round 30

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Tamme Stadium (Tartu)

Referee: Reinumagi E. (Est)

Where to Watch on TV:


Estonia	Jalgpall.ee, Soccernet TV


	Tammeka		Nõmme United

	1	X	2
	1.87	3.90	3.00
	1.8	3.85	3.55
	1.83	4.2	3.5
	1.91	4.13	3.31	Watch
	1.78	4	3.4
	1.83	3.82	3.35	Watch
	1.89	3.8	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (1.99)	3.96 ↓ (3.98)	3.33 ↑ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tammeka
49.5%

Draw
23.1%

Nõmme United
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

23.3%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

22.2%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tammeka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Nõmme United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tammeka than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nõmme United than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Tammeka - Nõmme United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Lapa K. (G) 3. Pedro Manoel 17. Amijekori J. 22. Lang T. 7. Thomas Lisboa 23. Veelma P. 99. Hydara M. 79. Marin P. 24. Pedmanson H. 10. Uggeri G. (C) 9. Sambe M.	71. Purg G. (G) 4. Alteberg A. 50. Geiger S. 6. Palts M. 45. Jarvelaid H. 10. Frolov A. (C) 7. Torres A. 23. Laanelaid K. 49. Beglarishvili Z. 19. Krasnov I. 20. Matas K.
Substitutes
89. Kauan Pereira 8. Kiidron K. 13. Laabus R. 11. Muur R. 27. Ounpuu L. 12. Sahtel K. (G) 29. Silov R. 4. Vaino M.	55. Chanda R. 15. Evans T. 91. Lagus G. (G) 27. Miil M. 26. Oostenbrink K. 9. Ounapuu E. 1. Polda P. (G) 14. Vassiljev N.
Coaches
Voolaid K.	Maling E.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tammeka won 5.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Tammeka may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Tammeka is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Tammeka has recorded 7 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 22:9 (averaging 2.4:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Tammeka against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 6:3 goals (averaging 2:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Tammeka	29	14	2	13	37:47	-10	44
9	Nomme Utd	29	9	1	19	47:68	-21	28

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JK Tammeka Tartu
Estonian Cup
02.10.26	Tammeka - Viimsi JK	4:1 ✺
Estonian Meistriliiga
20.09.26	Tammeka - Nõmme Kalju	1:3 ✺
17.09.26	Levadia Tallinn - Tammeka	6:0 ✺
13.09.26	Kuressaare - Tammeka	1:3 ✺
09.09.26	Tammeka - Paide LM	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLWL
- Nõmme United
Estonian Meistriliiga
19.09.26	Nõmme United - Paide LM	1:3 ✺
12.09.26	Nõmme United - Flora Tallinn	2:3 ✺
08.09.26	Nõmme Kalju - Nõmme United	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Pärnu Vaprus - Nõmme United	1:0 ✺
Estonian Cup
02.09.26	Nõmme United - Pärnu Vaprus	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Meistriliiga
14.08.26	Nõmme United - Tammeka	0:1
15.05.26	Tammeka - Nõmme United	3:1
21.03.26	Nõmme United - Tammeka	2:3
Club Friendly
31.01.26	Nõmme United - Tammeka	0:6
Estonian Meistriliiga
09.11.24	Nõmme United - Tammeka	1:2
11.08.24	Tammeka - Nõmme United	1:1
04.07.24	Tammeka - Nõmme United	2:1

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