Match Info

Date: 10 October 2020, Saturday


	Tampa Bay Rowdies		Birmingham City

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.5	4.1	Watch
	1.65	3.6	4.3
	1.66	3.35	4.7
	1.7	3.6	4.79
	1.72	3.44	4.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.7)	3.5 ↓ (3.62)	4.51 ↑ (4.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tampa Bay Rowdies
53.8%

Draw
26%

Birmingham City
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

25.2%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6%

20.3%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tampa Bay Rowdies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Birmingham City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Rowdies than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tampa Bay Rowdies, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Tampa Bay Rowdies - Birmingham City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Birmingham was already of playoffs, has a chance of qtrs (29%), has a small chance of semis (12%), has a very small chance of final (4%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

Recent matches Tampa Bay is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Birmingham is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Birmingham could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Tampa Bay is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Tampa Bay won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Tampa Bay won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tampa Bay Rowdies
USL Championship
03.10.20	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Charleston Battery	1:2 ✺
26.09.20	Miami - Tampa Bay Rowdies	0:1 ✺
16.09.20	Atlanta United II - Tampa Bay Rowdies	1:2 ✺
11.09.20	Charleston Battery - Tampa Bay Rowdies	1:0 ✺
06.09.20	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Philadelphia Union II	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWWLW
- Birmingham City
English League Championship
04.10.20	Stoke City - Birmingham City	1:1 ✺
USL Championship
03.10.20	Memphis 901 - Birmingham City	3:1 ✺
26.09.20	Birmingham City - North Carolina	1:2 ✺
English League Championship
26.09.20	Birmingham City - Rotherham United	1:1 ✺
19.09.20	Swansea City - Birmingham City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TLLTT

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
25.07.20	Birmingham City - Tampa Bay Rowdies	1:1
10.08.19	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Birmingham City	0:1
01.06.19	Birmingham City - Tampa Bay Rowdies	0:2

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