The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tamworth 42%
Draw 27.7%
Altrincham 30.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.1%
27.4%
30.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.5%
26.4%
31.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tamworth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
Altrincham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tamworth than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Altrincham than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
70%
20%
10%
Tamworth - Altrincham Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Tamworth will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Altrincham will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%). Confidence interval (95%) for Tamworth: 41.6% – 98.4%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Tamworth will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Singh J. (G) 12. Rye J. 18. Cullinane-Liburd J. 5. Digie K. 11. Fairlamb L. 14. Mols S. 4. Tonks T. 45. Howley R. 31. Maher R. 27. Lynch O. 42. Kurtaran T.
30. Hutchinson L. (G) 34. Sassi D. 5. Cooper J. 23. Golden T. 14. Kosylo M. 22. Crawford T. 8. Marriott I. 26. Forde A. 11. Knowles J. 9. Howe D. 20. Reddin K.
Substitutes
24. Acquaye B. 6. Bates A. 3. Cockerill-Mollett C. 26. Hollis H. 46. Isichei D. 8. Milnes B. 20. Roberts T.
25. Bailey J. 24. Barnes S. 27. Fallon L. (G) 28. Humbles L. 40. Kirk C. 3. Reed S. 17. Weaver L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
16', Golden T. 🟨,
17', 1 - 0, Digie K. ⚽, Rye J. (A),
39', Maher R. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 1)
46', Fairlamb L. ↓, Acquaye B. ↑,
52', 1 - 1, Knowles J. ⚽,
54', Sassi D. 🟥,
57', Golden T. 🟥,
58', 2 - 1, Mols S. (Penalty Awarded),
58', Hutchinson L. 🟨,
59', Crawford T. 🟨,
59', 🟨,
60', Knowles J. ↓, Barnes S. ↑,
71', Kosylo M. 🟨,
72', 3 - 1, Acquaye B. ⚽, Digie K. (A),
74', Tonks T. ↓, Milnes B. ↑,
76', 4 - 1, Rye J. ⚽, Kurtaran T. (A),
78', Howe D. ↓, Reed S. ↑,
78', Reddin K. ↓, Humbles L. ↑,
82', Lynch O. ↓, Roberts T. ↑,
82', Mols S. ↓, Isichei D. ↑,
90+1', Howley R. ↓, Bates A. ↑,
90+5', 5 - 1, Cullinane-Liburd J. ⚽,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 15).
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Tamworth may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Altrincham has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tamworth won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 1.6:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Tamworth won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Altrincham
13
8
0
5
20:19
1
24
18
Tamworth
13
4
2
7
21:30
-9
14
Last Results with these Odds
Altrincham - the odds 3.02 are the expected chance of winning is 30.51%, but this team recently wins 8% of matches with these odds.