Match Info

ESTONIA: Esiliiga - Round 31

Date: 4 October 2024, Friday

Location: Holm Jalgpallipark (Tartu)


	Tartu Welco		Harju JK Laagri

	1	X	2
	4.33	4.1	1.55
	4.5	4.2	1.57	Watch
	4.17	4.16	1.59
	4.38	4.28	1.6	Watch
	4.5	4.2	1.57
	4.5	4.2	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.4 ↓ (4.55)	4.19 ↓ (4.25)	1.58 ↑ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tartu Welco
20.7%

Draw
21.7%

Harju JK Laagri
57.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20%

21.4%

58.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.5%

20.9%

57.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tartu Welco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Harju JK Laagri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tartu Welco than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harju JK Laagri than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Tartu Welco - Harju JK Laagri Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Agarmaa M. (G) 16. Songisepp A. 6. Kala R. 32. Salu R. 4. Sossi M. 95. Saupold T. 34. Saareleht T. 21. Vool A. (C) 20. Mugra M. 9. Mottus E. 11. Magi M.	1. Vainula J. M. (G) 7. Reimaa R. 3. Kaevats A. 6. Kariste J. 4. Jarve A. (C) 87. Jose M. 17. Kelement M. 11. Kose A. 10. Sikk A. 23. Rudenko Daniil 16. Kriis K.
Substitutes
88. Anderson K. 27. Ernits H. 26. Hoffmann T. 63. Jurisson K. E. (G) 80. Mark K. 70. Petmanson J. 13. Sokolov I. 8. Tekko T. 79. Vana K.	14. Antonov K. A. 13. Einmann K. 45. Kangur S. 44. Must S. 71. Rimmel M. (G) 26. Vali K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, Sikk A. ⚽,
16', Agarmaa M. 🟥,
17', Salu R. ↓, Jurisson K. E. ↑,
21', 0 - 2, Songisepp A. (Own goal),
36', Kaevats A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
47', Jose M. 🟨,
55', Vool A. 🟨,
59', Kaevats A. ↓, Antonov K. A. ↑,
65', 1 - 2, Mottus E. (Pen),
70', 🟨,
70', Magi M. ↓, Sokolov I. ↑,
70', Sossi M. ↓, Vana K. ↑,
71', Vool A. ↓, Mark K. ↑,
77', Mugra M. ↓, Petmanson J. ↑,
80', 1 - 3, Kriis K. ⚽,
85', Sikk A. ↓, Einmann K. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 4, Rudenko Daniil ⚽,

Preview

Tartu Welco is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Harju is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Harju is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Tartu Welco won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.3:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Tartu Welco won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tartu JK Welco
Estonian Esiliiga
28.09.24	Elva - Tartu Welco	0:1 ✺
22.09.24	Tartu Welco - Paide U21	2:2 ✺
19.09.24	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Tartu Welco	1:0 ✺
14.09.24	Tartu Welco - Tallinna Kalev U21	3:0 ✺
31.08.24	Tabasalu - Tartu Welco	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WTLWW
- Harju JK Laagri
Estonian Esiliiga
28.09.24	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Harju JK Laagri	4:3 ✺
23.09.24	Harju JK Laagri - Tallinna Kalev U21	3:3 ✺
19.09.24	Harju JK Laagri - Viimsi JK	0:0 ✺
15.09.24	Paide U21 - Harju JK Laagri	0:6 ✺
31.08.24	Elva - Harju JK Laagri	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga
17.08.24	Harju JK Laagri - Tartu Welco	1:1
11.05.24	Tartu Welco - Harju JK Laagri	0:2
13.04.24	Harju JK Laagri - Tartu Welco	0:0

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