Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 25

Date: 27 February 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: BUKO Stadion (Velsen-Zuid) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Gozubuyuk S. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Netherlands	20:00	Canal+, ESPN 2


	Telstar		NAC Breda

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.8	2.5	Watch
	2.55	3.5	2.6
	2.62	3.55	2.58
	2.66	3.7	2.59
	2.58	3.7	2.53	Watch
	2.5	3.5	2.45
	2.61	3.89	2.56	Watch
	2.45	3.4	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.44)	3.63 ↑ (3.25)	2.58 ↓ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Telstar
37%

Draw
26.1%

NAC Breda
36.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.1%

28.6%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

28.2%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Telstar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

NAC Breda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Telstar than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for NAC Breda than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	35%	35%

Telstar - NAC Breda Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Telstar will win (votes: 5 - 26.3%). Breda will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 36.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Breda: 15.1% – 58.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Breda (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Koeman R. (G) 14. Ogidi Nwankwo N. 4. Offerhaus G. 6. Bakker D. (C) 3. Alders G. 23. Hatenboer C. 17. Rossen N. 2. Hardeveld J. 37. van Duijn S. 19. Thorisson N. 39. Ritmeester van de Kamp J.	99. Bielica D. (G) 15. Mahmutovic E. 8. Leemans C. 4. Kemper B. (C) 7. Brym C. 90. Holtby L. 16. Balard M. 14. Sowah K. 10. Nassoh M. 19. Salama A. 24. Ayew A.
Substitutes
13. Bodak T. (G) 15. Bouchouari A. 27. Brouwer P. 7. Hetli S. 21. Koswal D. 29. Malone D. 16. Mertens D. 11. Noslin T. 8. Owusu T. 20. Reiziger D. (G) 9. Seedorf J.	21. Candelaria J. 55. Ghalidi B. 22. Hillen R. 20. Jensen F. 1. Kortsmit R. (G) 31. Lamprou K. (G) 2. Lucassen B. 11. Paula R. 26. Reulen P. 32. Talvitie J. 25. Valerius C.
Coaches
Correia A.	Hoefkens C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', Leemans C. 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Ritmeester van de Kamp J. ⚽, Hardeveld J. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Salama A. ↓, Lucassen B. ↑,
46', Leemans C. ↓, Hillen R. ↑,
46', Holtby L. ↓, Reulen P. ↑,
64', Offerhaus G. 🟨,
71', Hillen R. 🟨,
73', Thorisson N. ↓, Brouwer P. ↑,
73', Balard M. ↓, Paula R. ↑,
74', Nassoh M. 🟨,
79', Reulen P. 🟨,
80', Alders G. ↓, Noslin T. ↑,
83', 2 - 0, Ritmeester van de Kamp J. ⚽, Brouwer P. (A),
85', 3 - 0, Brouwer P. ⚽,
90+2', Hatenboer C. ↓, Owusu T. ↑,
90+2', Ritmeester van de Kamp J. ↓, Mertens D. ↑,
90+2', Offerhaus G. ↓, Koswal D. ↑,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie and 16 in the zone Eredivisie (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Telstar won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Telstar: Owusu T. (Inactive)

There will not play in Breda: Greiml L. (Shoulder Injury) Jensen F. (Injury) Soumano M. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Telstar: Koswal D. (Inactive)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Telstar won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 15:23. (average 1.1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Telstar won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1.3:1.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Telstar	10	1	3	6	12:21	-9	6

Outrights of Dutch Eredivisie for now

NAC Breda: 7.97% Telstar: 0.14%

Last Results with these Odds

Telstar - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 38.06%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Telstar
Dutch Eredivisie
22.02.26	Feyenoord - Telstar	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Telstar - Twente	1:1 ✺
08.02.26	Go Ahead Eagles - Telstar	1:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
05.02.26	Telstar - Go Ahead Eagles	2:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
31.01.26	Zwolle - Telstar	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LTTWL
- NAC Breda
Dutch Eredivisie
21.02.26	NAC Breda - Volendam	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Heracles Almelo - NAC Breda	0:1 ✺
06.02.26	NAC Breda - Excelsior	0:2 ✺
30.01.26	NAC Breda - Twente	2:2 ✺
24.01.26	PSV Eindhoven - NAC Breda	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.7 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
20.12.25	NAC Breda - Telstar	0:1
Dutch Eerste Divisie
16.02.24	Telstar - NAC Breda	1:1
20.10.23	NAC Breda - Telstar	3:1
19.05.23	Telstar - NAC Breda	2:1
04.11.22	NAC Breda - Telstar	1:1
14.03.22	Telstar - NAC Breda	1:4
13.08.21	NAC Breda - Telstar	2:2

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