Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 21

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: MAC³PARK Stadion (Zwolle) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Bos A. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Netherlands	18:45	Canal+, ESPN 1, ESPN Extra


	Zwolle		Telstar

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.5	2.9	Watch
	2.32	3.55	2.95
	2.35	3.7	2.99
	2.33	3.64	2.86	Watch
	2.2	3.3	2.9
	2.29	3.62	3.16	Watch
	2.28	3.5	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.12)	3.54 ↑ (3.5)	2.95 ↓ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zwolle
41.2%

Draw
26.7%

Telstar
32.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.9%

26.6%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

26.4%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zwolle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Telstar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zwolle than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Telstar than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	6.2%	31.2%

Zwolle - Telstar Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Zwolle will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). Telstar will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zwolle: 38.8% – 86.2%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Telstar will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. de Graaff T. (G) 6. Gooijer T. 28. Graves S. 4. Garcia MacNulty A. 2. Floranus S. 34. Fichtinger N. 25. Oosting T. 35. Monteiro J. 9. Namli Y. (C) 10. Kostons K. 7. Shoretire S.	1. Koeman R. (G) 14. Ogidi Nwankwo N. 4. Offerhaus G. 6. Bakker D. (C) 11. Noslin T. 17. Rossen N. 23. Hatenboer C. 2. Hardeveld J. 39. Ritmeester van de Kamp J. 7. Hetli S. 9. Zonneveld M.
Substitutes
3. Aertssen O. 48. Bakker L. (G) 29. Buitink T. 22. de Rooij K. 19. Faberski J. 26. Pereira da Gama J. 20. Reiziger G. 42. Ruward D. 18. Velanas O. 41. Verduin D. (G)	13. Bodak T. (G) 10. Hamdaoui M. 15. Lechkar A. 29. Malone D. 16. Mertens D. 5. Ogidi Nwankwo N. 28. Oudsten R. 20. Reiziger D. (G) 30. Tejan K. 37. van Duijn S.
Coaches
Van Der Vegt H.	Correia A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+3', 1 - 0, Shoretire S. ⚽, Graves S. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Hatenboer C. ↓, van Duijn S. ↑,
46', Monteiro J. ↓, de Rooij K. ↑,
60', 1 - 1, Rossen N. ⚽,
61', Hetli S. ↓, Tejan K. ↑,
67', 2 - 1, Kostons K. ⚽,
70', 3 - 1, Gooijer T. ⚽, Kostons K. (A),
77', Shoretire S. ↓, Pereira da Gama J. ↑,
77', Zonneveld M. ↓, Lechkar A. ↑,
77', Noslin T. ↓, Mertens D. ↑,
83', 4 - 1, Kostons K. ⚽, de Rooij K. (A),
88', Oosting T. ↓, Reiziger G. ↑,
88', Fichtinger N. ↓, Velanas O. ↑,
88', Namli Y. ↓, Faberski J. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Eredivisie (Relegation)).

Zwolle has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Telstar is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Zwolle: Buurmeester Z. (Inactive) Lagsir S. (Inactive) Schendelaar J. (Injury) Thomas R. (Yellow Cards) Velanas O. (Ankle Injury) Voute D. (Inactive) van der Haar D. (Inactive)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Zwolle won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:0. (average 2.8:0).

Including home match between the teams, Zwolle won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Zwolle	10	2	2	6	11:23	-12	8
16	Telstar	10	1	3	6	12:21	-9	6

Outrights of Dutch Eredivisie for now

Telstar: 0.14% Zwolle: 0.09%

Last Results with these Odds

Telstar - the odds 3.17 are the expected chance of winning is 29.45%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PEC Zwolle
Dutch Eredivisie
24.01.26	NEC Nijmegen - Zwolle	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Zwolle - AZ Alkmaar	3:1 ✺
10.01.26	Twente - Zwolle	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Excelsior - Zwolle	2:1 ✺
13.12.25	Zwolle - Fortuna Sittard	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.3 LWTLW
- SC Telstar
Dutch Eredivisie
25.01.26	Telstar - AZ Alkmaar	0:1 ✺
17.01.26	Excelsior - Telstar	2:2 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
14.01.26	Almere City - Telstar	1:3 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
11.01.26	Telstar - Ajax	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
05.01.26	Málaga - Telstar	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LTWL?

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
15.08.25	Telstar - Zwolle	0:2
Dutch Eerste Divisie
14.04.23	Zwolle - Telstar	2:0
12.08.22	Telstar - Zwolle	0:5
Club Friendly
09.07.13	Telstar - Zwolle	0:2

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