Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 26

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Fortuna Sittard Stadion (Sittard)

Referee: Kooij J. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN


	Fortuna Sittard		Telstar

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.6	2.9	Watch
	2.38	3.55	2.85
	2.36	3.74	2.91
	2.27	3.67	2.95	Watch
	2.25	3.4	2.8
	2.32	3.6	3.11	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (1.97)	3.59 ↑ (3.42)	2.92 ↓ (3.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fortuna Sittard
41.1%

Draw
26.4%

Telstar
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

27.2%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

27.4%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortuna Sittard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fortuna Sittard's form might have worsened.

Telstar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Telstar's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Sittard than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fortuna Sittard, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Telstar than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Telstar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	33.3%	8.3%

Fortuna Sittard - Telstar Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Fortuna Sittard will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Telstar will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fortuna Sittard: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Fortuna Sittard (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Koopmans L. (G) 12. Pinto I. (C) 44. Marquez I. 28. Hubner J. 8. Dahlhaus J. 23. Brittijn P. 20. Michut E. 52. Ihattaren M. 70. Duijvestijn L. 18. Limnios D. 9. Sierhuis K.	1. Koeman R. (G) 14. Ogidi Nwankwo N. 4. Offerhaus G. 6. Bakker D. (C) 11. Noslin T. 23. Hatenboer C. 8. Owusu T. 2. Hardeveld J. 37. van Duijn S. 27. Brouwer P. 19. Thorisson N.
Substitutes
4. Adewoye S. 22. Bastien S. 19. Gladon P. 10. Halilovic A. 21. Kasanwirjo N. 32. Marsman N. (G) 25. Martens N. (G) 5. Oukili Y. 7. Peterson K. 6. van Ottele S.	13. Bodak T. (G) 7. Hetli S. 21. Koswal D. 29. Malone D. 16. Mertens D. 20. Reiziger D. (G) 39. Ritmeester van de Kamp J. 9. Seedorf J. 30. Tejan K.
Coaches
Buijs D.	Correia A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Brouwer P. ⚽,
7', 0 - 2, Thorisson N. ⚽, Hardeveld J. (A),
22', 1 - 2, Sierhuis K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Brittijn P. ↓, Oukili Y. ↑,
46', Pinto I. ↓, Kasanwirjo N. ↑,
46', Owusu T. ↓, Koswal D. ↑,
50', 1 - 3, Brouwer P. ⚽, van Duijn S. (A),
51', Hubner J. ↓, Peterson K. ↑,
54', Kasanwirjo N. 🟨,
65', 1 - 4, Bakker D. ⚽,
69', van Duijn S. ↓, Tejan K. ↑,
69', Brouwer P. ↓, Hetli S. ↑,
72', Ihattaren M. ↓, Gladon P. ↑,
72', Duijvestijn L. ↓, Tunjic L. ↑,
74', Thorisson N. ↓, Seedorf J. ↑,
75', Seedorf J. 🟨,
86', Noslin T. ↓, Mertens D. ↑,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortuna Sittard won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Telstar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Fortuna Sittard could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Fortuna Sittard: Bayram R. (Knee Injury) Branderhorst M. (Injury) Lonwijk J. (Muscle Injury) Sinkgraven D. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Telstar: Lechkar A. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Telstar: Alders G. (Head Injury)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Fortuna Sittard won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:16. (average 1.5:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Fortuna Sittard won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Sittard	8	4	2	2	14:15	-1	14
13	Telstar	7	1	2	4	5:12	-7	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortuna Sittard
Dutch Eredivisie
28.02.26	NEC Nijmegen - Fortuna Sittard	2:3 ✺
20.02.26	Fortuna Sittard - Excelsior	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Ajax - Fortuna Sittard	4:1 ✺
07.02.26	Fortuna Sittard - Sparta Rotterdam	2:2 ✺
01.02.26	Heracles Almelo - Fortuna Sittard	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WWLTL
- SC Telstar
Dutch KNVB Beker
04.03.26	AZ Alkmaar - Telstar	2:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
27.02.26	Telstar - NAC Breda	3:0 ✺
22.02.26	Feyenoord - Telstar	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Telstar - Twente	1:1 ✺
08.02.26	Go Ahead Eagles - Telstar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
14.09.25	Telstar - Fortuna Sittard	1:3
Dutch Eerste Divisie
16.02.18	Fortuna Sittard - Telstar	1:1
29.09.17	Telstar - Fortuna Sittard	0:6
20.01.17	Fortuna Sittard - Telstar	1:1
12.08.16	Telstar - Fortuna Sittard	1:1
15.02.16	Fortuna Sittard - Telstar	0:3
18.09.15	Telstar - Fortuna Sittard	3:0

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