The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fortuna Sittard 46.4%
Draw 26%
Telstar 27.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
46.6%
26.6%
26.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.4%
26.2%
26.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fortuna Sittard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
Telstar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Sittard than the current prediction. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Telstar than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Fortuna Sittard - Telstar Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
One of the top-ranked clubs faces a lower-table side fighting for vital survival points (ranked 6th in the Promotion - Eredivisie Conference League - Playoffs and 16th in the Eredivisie (Relegation)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortuna Sittard won 2.
Fortuna Sittard is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Telstar is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Fortuna Sittard may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Fortuna Sittard is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
Our forecast points to a victory for Fortuna Sittard in today's match, at odds of 2.03.
In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Fortuna Sittard has recorded 4 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 20:20 (averaging 1.4:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Fortuna Sittard against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 10:10 goals (averaging 1.4:1.4 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Sittard
10
5
3
2
17:17
0
18
16
Telstar
10
1
3
6
12:21
-9
6
Outrights of Dutch Eredivisie for now
Sittard: 0.21% Telstar: 0.14%
Last Results with these Odds
Telstar - the odds 3.52 are the expected chance of winning is 26.86%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.