Match Info

NETHERLANDS: Eerste Divisie - Round 15

Date: 15 November 2024, Friday

Location: 711 Stadium (Velsen-Zuid)

Referee: Sturm R. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 1


	Telstar		VVV-Venlo

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.5	5.25	Watch
	1.51	4.2	5.25
	1.52	4.5	5.5	Watch
	1.53	4.59	5.72
	1.54	4.4	5.29	Watch
	1.5	4.2	5.5
	1.55	4.4	5.19	Watch
	1.52	4.5	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.61)	4.41 ↑ (4.17)	5.4 ↑ (4.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Telstar
61.4%

Draw
21.2%

VVV-Venlo
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.3%

22.5%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2%

21.8%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Telstar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

VVV-Venlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Telstar than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for VVV-Venlo than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.2%	12.5%	6.2%

Telstar - VVV Venlo Predictions

Users Predictions: Telstar will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Koeman R. (G) 3. Apau M. (C) 5. Dirks S. 6. Bakker D. 11. Noslin T. 4. Offerhaus G. 17. Rossen N. 2. Hardeveld J. 9. El Kachati Y. 10. Eddahchouri Z. 18. van Ekeris R.	23. van Crooij D. (G) 12. Mokono S. 35. el Anbri Y. 33. Blancquart G. 5. Janssen S. 26. Matoug N. 21. De Waal M. 8. Sierra E. (C) 17. Berden M. 9. Doumtsios K. 11. Verheijen T.
Substitutes
24. Benzzine A. 28. Bodak T. (G) 16. den Haan J. 19. Hagedoorn S. 23. Hetli S. 20. Houweling J. (G) 14. Kaandorp M. 12. Overtoom T. 25. Owusu T. 26. van Schooneveld J.	1. de Boer J. (G) 18. Doesburg P. 19. Gyamfi E. 30. Jenniskens J. 24. Odriss M. 10. Popperl P. 14. Roemer Y. 25. Taylan Z. (G) 7. Wehmeyer L.
Coaches
Correia A.	Lammers J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, El Kachati Y. ⚽, Hardeveld J. (A),
23', Verheijen T. 🟨,
25', 2 - 0, Eddahchouri Z. (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', el Anbri Y. ↓, Gyamfi E. ↑,
72', 3 - 0, El Kachati Y. ⚽,
73', Mokono S. ↓, Roemer Y. ↑,
73', van Ekeris R. ↓, Kaandorp M. ↑,
74', Berden M. ↓, Popperl P. ↑,
74', Verheijen T. ↓, Wehmeyer L. ↑,
74', Doumtsios K. ↓, Doesburg P. ↑,
78', Noslin T. ↓, Owusu T. ↑,
78', Rossen N. ↓, Overtoom T. ↑,
84', 4 - 0, Bakker D. ⚽, Hardeveld J. (A),
86', Popperl P. 🟨,
89', Hardeveld J. ↓, Benzzine A. ↑,
89', El Kachati Y. ↓, Hetli S. ↑,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 11 and 18).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Telstar won 1.

Recent matches Telstar is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Venlo is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Telstar is a favorite.

There will not play in Venlo: Braem T. (Yellow Cards)

Last 14 head-to-head matches Telstar won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 17:23 (average 1.2:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Telstar won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9:13 (average 1.3:1.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Telstar
Dutch Eerste Divisie
09.11.24	Roda - Telstar	1:0 ✺
03.11.24	Telstar - Volendam	2:2 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
31.10.24	Telstar - Helmond Sport	3:0 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
27.10.24	Emmen - Telstar	0:1 ✺
18.10.24	FC Oss - Telstar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LTWWT
- VVV-Venlo
Dutch Eerste Divisie
08.11.24	VVV-Venlo - Jong AZ Alkmaar	0:1 ✺
01.11.24	Jong Ajax - VVV-Venlo	0:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
29.10.24	Excelsior - VVV-Venlo	2:1 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
25.10.24	VVV-Venlo - Den Bosch	1:2 ✺
18.10.24	VVV-Venlo - Dordrecht	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
22.12.23	VVV-Venlo - Telstar	2:1
09.09.23	Telstar - VVV-Venlo	1:2
21.04.23	Telstar - VVV-Venlo	1:0
23.09.22	VVV-Venlo - Telstar	1:1
15.04.22	VVV-Venlo - Telstar	3:2
03.12.21	Telstar - VVV-Venlo	1:3
05.05.17	Telstar - VVV-Venlo	1:2

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