Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 26

Date: 12 February 2026, Thursday

Location: Stadio Libero Liberati (Terni)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia
World	Onefootball


	Ternana		Ravenna

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.38	3.05	2.92	Watch
	2.59	3.15	3.12
	2.41	3.06	2.89	Watch
	2.25	2.88	3
	2.34	2.81	3.15	Watch
	2.36	2.85	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (2.85)	2.97 ↓ (3.28)	3.06 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ternana
38.7%

Draw
31.1%

Ravenna
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

28.1%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

27.2%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ternana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ternana's performance.

Ravenna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ravenna might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ternana that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ravenna than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ravenna could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	11.1%	22.2%

Ternana - Ravenna Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Ternana will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Ravenna will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ternana: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ternana (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Ternana (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Ternana (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
71. D'Alterio F. (G) 20. Donati F. 13. Maestrelli A. 87. Martella B. 17. Kerrigan L. 16. Garetto M. 4. Vallocchia A. 43. Ndrecka A. 18. Panico G. 27. Ferrante A. 32. Pettinari S.	1. Anacoura J. (G) 27. Corsinelli F. 44. Bianconi A. 21. Esposito A. 14. Bani C. 16. Tenkorang J. 17. Lonardi L. 8. Rossetti M. 10. Viola N. 23. Fischnaller M. 79. Italeng J.
Substitutes
22. Aramu M. 38. Bruti T. 36. Delibra L. (G) 9. Dubickas E. 2. Kurti A. 10. Leonardi S. 42. Lodovici R. 23. Majer Z. 8. McJannet E. 14. Meccariello B. 12. Morlupo A. (G) 30. Orellana M. 3. Pagliari M. 80. Proietti M. 5. Tripi F.	20. Calandrini G. 45. Castellacci M. 77. Da Pozzo L. 4. Mandorlini M. 7. Okaka S. 25. Poluzzi G. (G) 11. Rrapaj P. 5. Solini M. 19. Spini C. 12. Stagni T. (G) 76. Zakaria K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
65', Panico G. ↓, Orellana M. ↑,
65', Pettinari S. ↓, Dubickas E. ↑,
66', Fischnaller M. ↓, Rrapaj P. ↑,
69', Martella B. 🟨,
73', Garetto M. 🟨,
73', 🟨,
75', Ferrante A. ↓, Leonardi S. ↑,
76', Tenkorang J. ↓, Da Pozzo L. ↑,
76', Viola N. ↓, Spini C. ↑,
76', Italeng J. ↓, Okaka S. ↑,
80', 1 - 0, Dubickas E. ⚽,
89', Lonardi L. ↓, Calandrini G. ↑,
90', 2 - 0, Kerrigan L. ⚽,
90+1', Martella B. ↓, Majer Z. ↑,
90+1', Garetto M. ↓, Kurti A. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ternana won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Ternana won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Ravenna	8	5	2	1	13:4	9	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ternana Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
08.02.26	Pontedera - Ternana	2:2 ✺
01.02.26	Ternana - Sassari Torres	0:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
28.01.26	Potenza - Ternana	1:1 penalties ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
24.01.26	Carpi - Ternana	0:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
14.01.26	Ternana - Potenza	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TLWWL
- Ravenna FC
Italian Serie C Group B
07.02.26	Ravenna - Carpi	1:0 ✺
30.01.26	Perugia - Ravenna	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Ravenna - Guidonia Montecelio	2:1 ✺
18.01.26	Bra - Ravenna	2:1 ✺
10.01.26	Ravenna - Forlì	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
27.09.25	Ravenna - Ternana	1:0
28.04.19	Ternana - Ravenna	1:0
22.12.18	Ravenna - Ternana	3:2

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