Match Info

USL League One

Date: 25 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Sherman Bearcat Stadium (Sherman, TX)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Texoma		Greenville Triumph

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.7	3.7	1.79
	3.92	3.89	1.78
	3.82	3.92	1.82	Watch
	3.68	3.72	1.79	Watch
	3.7	3.7	1.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.76 ↑ (2.73)	3.79 ↑ (3.44)	1.79 ↓ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Texoma
24.4%

Draw
24.3%

Greenville Triumph
51.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

26.5%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

25.5%

41.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Texoma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Texoma's form might have worsened.

Greenville Triumph has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Greenville Triumph's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Texoma than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Texoma, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Greenville Triumph than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Greenville Triumph, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Texoma - Greenville Triumph Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Greenville (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Garcia J. (G) 2. Valentine R. 12. Chavez J. 5. Calfo A. 4. Kilwien P. (C) 3. Ramos O. 17. Bortniczuk M. 10. Spengler P. 24. Jordan J. 16. Mason D. 20. Asante S.	1. Rankenburg G. (C) 18. Evans C. 5. Fricke B. 23. Agyaakwah I. 3. Polak T. 8. Herrera C. 6. Anguiano C. 7. Zakowski B. 10. Velasquez S. 19. Marsh C. 25. Castro L.
Substitutes
23. Baker T. 19. Benamna D. 15. Dlamini P. 11. Domic D. 8. McCormick L. 1. McCready M. (G) 22. Perkins W.	77. Benton D. 17. Gonzalez M. 12. Lee E. 20. Mensah R. 4. Patti A. 21. Soto E. 30. Torman S. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Rankenburg G. 🟨,
22', Jordan J. ↓, Baker T. ↑,
27', Evans C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', Ramos O. 🟨,
57', Bortniczuk M. ↓, McCormick L. ↑,
57', Mason D. ↓, Perkins W. ↑,
63', Marsh C. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
67', Kilwien P. ↓, Benamna D. ↑,
67', Anguiano C. 🟨,
69', Velasquez S. ↓, Soto E. ↑,
72', Anguiano C. ↓, Lee E. ↑,
78', Chavez J. 🟨,
79', Fricke B. 🟨,
80', Agyaakwah I. 🟨,
90+6', 1 - 0, Baker T. ⚽,
90+7', Perkins W. 🟨,
90+8', Zakowski B. 🟨,
90+10', Ramos O. ↓, Dlamini P. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: )).

Texoma has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Greenville is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Greenville is the team to beat.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Texoma FC
USL League One
17.05.25	Texoma - Union Omaha	2:1 ✺
10.05.25	AV Alta - Texoma	0:0 ✺
03.05.25	Texoma - Charlotte Independence	3:4 ✺
USL Cup
26.04.25	Texoma - El Paso Locomotive	0:1 penalties ✺
USL League One
19.04.25	Forward Madison - Texoma	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 WTLLT
- Greenville Triumph
USL League One
17.05.25	Greenville Triumph - AV Alta	2:2 ✺
02.05.25	Richmond Kickers - Greenville Triumph	3:3 ✺
USL Cup
26.04.25	South Georgia Tormenta - Greenville Triumph	2:1 ✺
USL League One
19.04.25	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Greenville Triumph	1:0 ✺
09.04.25	Greenville Triumph - One Knoxville	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TTLLL

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