Match Info

USL League One

Date: 17 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Sherman Bearcat Stadium (Sherman, TX)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Texoma		Union Omaha

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.25	3.9	1.49
	4.9	3.8	1.58
	5.04	3.96	1.57
	5.21	3.95	1.61	Watch
	5.16	3.74	1.57	Watch
	4.9	3.8	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.08 ↑ (4.74)	3.86 ↑ (3.77)	1.57 ↓ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Texoma
18%

Draw
23.7%

Union Omaha
58.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.3%

24.3%

56.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.1%

23.3%

54.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Texoma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Union Omaha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Texoma than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Omaha than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Texoma - Union Omaha Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Garcia J. (G) 5. Calfo A. 12. Chavez J. 4. Kilwien P. 2. Valentine R. 10. Spengler P. 3. Ramos O. 24. Jordan J. 16. Mason D. 20. Asante S. 17. Bortniczuk M.	24. Nuhu R. (G) 4. Owusu S. 14. Kallman B. 5. Milanese M. 26. Acoff D. 23. Schneider M. 16. Wootton L. 20. Ostrem C. 8. Ors S. 7. Gallardo J. 21. Gomez J.
Substitutes
23. Baker T. 15. Dlamini P. 11. Domic D. 30. Jawneh L. 8. McCormick L. 1. McCready M. (G) 7. McManus B.	95. Amiche K. 18. Bronnik M. 13. Holt A. 36. Jensen C. (G) 27. Jiba R. 15. Knapp B. 9. Ouamri M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', Schneider M. 🟨,
2', Spengler P. 🟨,
26', 1 - 0, Asante S. ⚽, Bortniczuk M. (A),
34', Kilwien P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', Ors S. ↓, Amiche K. ↑,
56', Gallardo J. ↓, Ouamri M. ↑,
66', Jordan J. 🟨,
67', Casciato D. 🟥,
71', Jordan J. ↓, Baker T. ↑,
73', Bortniczuk M. ↓, McCormick L. ↑,
79', Mason D. ↓, Jawneh L. ↑,
80', Wootton L. ↓, Bronnik M. ↑,
84', 2 - 0, Spengler P. ⚽, Jawneh L. (A),
87', 2 - 1, Schneider M. ⚽,
90+7', Kallman B. 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 11).

Recent form of Texoma has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Union Omaha's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Union Omaha may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Union Omaha is seen as the favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Texoma FC
USL League One
10.05.25	AV Alta - Texoma	0:0 ✺
03.05.25	Texoma - Charlotte Independence	3:4 ✺
USL Cup
26.04.25	Texoma - El Paso Locomotive	0:1 penalties ✺
USL League One
19.04.25	Forward Madison - Texoma	1:1 ✺
13.04.25	Spokane Velocity - Texoma	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TLLTL
- Union Omaha
USL League One
10.05.25	Union Omaha - Portland Hearts of Pine	2:2 ✺
US Open Cup
07.05.25	St. Louis City - Union Omaha	2:0 ✺
USL League One
03.05.25	Forward Madison - Union Omaha	0:0 ✺
USL Cup
26.04.25	New Mexico United - Union Omaha	2:0 ✺
US Open Cup
15.04.25	Union Omaha - San Antonio	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 TLTLW

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