Match Info

Date: 18 October 2020, Sunday


	Thespakusatsu Gunma		Avispa Fukuoka

	1	X	2
	4	3.4	1.9	Watch
	3.9	3.3	1.85
	3.9	3.35	1.9	Watch
	3.9	3.3	1.89
	4.18	3.45	1.98
	4	3.25	1.91
	4	3.52	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.98 ↑ (3.93)	3.37 ↑ (3.37)	1.91 ↓ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thespakusatsu Gunma
23.4%

Draw
27.7%

Avispa Fukuoka
48.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.7%

27.7%

48.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.2%

22.5%

59.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thespakusatsu Gunma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Avispa Fukuoka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thespakusatsu Gunma than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Avispa Fukuoka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Thespakusatsu Gunma - Avispa Fukuoka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Recent matches Thespakusatsu is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Avispa Fukuoka in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

In this match Avispa Fukuoka is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Thespakusatsu won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Thespakusatsu won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thespakusatsu Gunma
Japan J2 League
14.10.20	Ryūkyū - Thespakusatsu Gunma	0:1 ✺
10.10.20	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Thespakusatsu Gunma	0:0 ✺
04.10.20	Thespakusatsu Gunma - JEF United Chiba	1:0 ✺
30.09.20	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Montedio Yamagata	1:4 ✺
27.09.20	Mito HollyHock - Thespakusatsu Gunma	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WTWLL
- Avispa Fukuoka
Japan J2 League
14.10.20	Albirex Niigata - Avispa Fukuoka	1:2 ✺
10.10.20	Ventforet Kofu - Avispa Fukuoka	0:2 ✺
04.10.20	Avispa Fukuoka - Giravanz Kitakyushu	2:0 ✺
30.09.20	Avispa Fukuoka - Tochigi	1:0 ✺
27.09.20	V-Varen Nagasaki - Avispa Fukuoka	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
23.09.20	Avispa Fukuoka - Thespakusatsu Gunma	1:0
16.07.17	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Avispa Fukuoka	1:3
28.05.17	Avispa Fukuoka - Thespakusatsu Gunma	1:3
08.11.15	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Avispa Fukuoka	0:4
06.05.15	Avispa Fukuoka - Thespakusatsu Gunma	4:1
19.10.14	Avispa Fukuoka - Thespakusatsu Gunma	1:1
26.04.14	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Avispa Fukuoka	1:2

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