Match Info

J2 League - Round 10

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Pocarisweat Stadium (Naruto)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Tokushima Vortis		Imabari

	1	X	2
	1.96	3.2	3.7	Watch
	2.00	3.20	3.20
	2	3.2	3.5	Watch
	2.07	3.57	3.72
	2.04	3.39	3.58	Watch
	2.01	3.5	3.55
	2.03	3.24	3.75	Watch
	2.02	3.3	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.06)	3.33 ↓ (3.38)	3.57 ↑ (3.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tokushima Vortis
46.1%

Draw
27.9%

Imabari
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

27.7%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

25.4%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tokushima Vortis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Imabari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokushima Vortis than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Imabari than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Tokushima Vortis - Imabari Predictions

Users Predictions: Tokushima Vortis will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
37. Kitamura K. C. (G) 15. Yamakoshi K. 3. Yamada N. (C) 22. Yanagisawa K. 19. Miyazaki J. 55. Shigehiro T. 10. Sugimoto T. 42. Takagi Y. 11. Lucas Barcelos 7. Kodama S. 14. Kajiya Y.	18. Ito G. (G) 35. Kushibiki K. 29. Maruyama Y. 99. Gabriel Gomes 15. Kikuchi K. 7. Yamada T. 6. Kajiura Y. 8. Mori K. 17. Mochii K. 14. Komai Y. (C) 10. Junio E.
Substitutes
31. Hasegawa T. (G) 8. Iwao K. 4. Kaique 6. Kanuma N. 97. Moyo M. 2. Tanaka H. 9. Thonny Anderson 16. Watari D. 44. Yamaguchi T.	19. Furuyama K. 9. Kondo T. 36. Kubo K. 30. Shibano H. 3. Son T. 1. Tachikawa K. (G) 38. Umakoshi H. 2. Umeki R. 11. Wesley Tanque
Coaches
Yoshimoto T.	Kuboyama Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', Kodama S. 🟨,
30', 0 - 1, Junio E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Mochii K. ↓, Umeki R. ↑,
58', Junio E. ↓, Wesley Tanque ↑,
58', Shigehiro T. ↓, Thonny Anderson ↑,
58', Yamada T. ↓, Umakoshi H. ↑,
65', 0 - 2, Umeki R. ⚽,
69', 1 - 2, Thonny Anderson ⚽, Miyazaki J. (A),
69', Takagi Y. ↓, Kaique ↑,
75', Mori K. 🟨,
77', Komai Y. ↓, Furuyama K. ↑,
77', Mori K. ↓, Kubo K. ↑,
81', Kodama S. ↓, Kanuma N. ↑,
81', Yanagisawa K. ↓, Moyo M. ↑,
81', Kajiya Y. ↓, Watari D. ↑,
90+2', Thonny Anderson 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 9th and 19th in the Relegation - J3 League).

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Recently, Tokushima has faced a series of away games on the road.

Tokushima is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Tokushima has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:5 (averaging 1:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Tokushima against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 2:1 goals (averaging 1:0.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Tokushima	10	4	1	5	10:12	-2	13
16	Imabari	10	3	1	6	11:19	-8	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tokushima Vortis
Japan J2 League
03.10.26	Albirex Niigata - Tokushima Vortis	2:1 ✺
26.09.26	Tokushima Vortis - Tochigi City	3:0 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
23.09.26	Gamba Osaka - Tokushima Vortis	5:0 ✺
Japan J2 League
19.09.26	Ventforet Kofu - Tokushima Vortis	0:1 ✺
12.09.26	Blaublitz Akita - Tokushima Vortis	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWLWL
- FC Imabari
Japan J2 League
03.10.26	Tochigi City - Imabari	1:2 ✺
26.09.26	Imabari - Shonan Bellmare	1:2 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
23.09.26	Kashiwa Reysol - Imabari	4:0 ✺
Japan J2 League
19.09.26	Yokohama FC - Imabari	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Imabari - Sagan Tosu	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 J3 League
24.05.26	Tokushima Vortis - Imabari	1:1
22.03.26	Imabari - Tokushima Vortis	2:1
Japan J2 League
05.10.25	Tokushima Vortis - Imabari	1:0
31.05.25	Imabari - Tokushima Vortis	0:1
Japan J League Cup
09.04.25	Imabari - Tokushima Vortis	2:1

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