The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Albirex Niigata 39.8%
Draw 29.9%
Tokyo 30.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.2%
27.9%
27.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.2%
27.9%
27.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Albirex Niigata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
Tokyo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
14.3%
57.1%
28.6%
Albirex Niigata - Tokyo Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Albirex Niigata will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tokyo will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tokyo (votes: 2 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +0.25 - Tokyo (1.76) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
DC - Tokyo (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Tokyo (votes: 5 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Yoshimitsu D. (G) 25. Fujiwara S. 2. Geria J. 3. Inamura H. 31. Horigome Y. 16. Komi Y. 22. Arai T. 6. Akiyama H. 30. Okumura J. 41. Hasegawa M. 99. Ono Y.
41. Nozawa T. (G) 32. Doi K. 47. Kimura S. 44. Henrique Trevisan 37. Koizumi K. 8. Ko T. 18. Hashimoto K. 22. Endo K. 16. Sato K. 33. Tawaratsumida K. 19. Marcelo Ryan
Substitutes
11. Danilo Gomes 5. Fitzgerald M. 1. Fujita K. (G) 42. Hashimoto K. 15. Hayakawa F. 19. Hoshi Y. 46. Kasai K. 20. Miguel 33. Takagi Y.
7. Anzai S. 13. Hatano G. (G) 4. Kimoto Y. 53. Kitahara M. 39. Nakagawa T. 28. Nozawa L. 30. Oka T. 99. Shirai K. 27. Tokiwa K.
Coaches
Kimori D.
Matsuhashi R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Marcelo Ryan ⚽, Sato K. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
52', 0 - 2, Koizumi K. ⚽, Doi K. (A),
58', Ono Y. ↓, Kasai K. ↑,
58', Komi Y. ↓, Danilo Gomes ↑,
59', Endo K. ↓, Anzai S. ↑,
66', 1 - 2, Hasegawa M. ⚽,
66', Akiyama H. ↓, Takagi Y. ↑,
67', Horigome Y. ↓, Hashimoto K. ↑,
72', Ko T. ↓, Shirai K. ↑,
74', Sato K. ↓, Nakagawa T. ↑,
82', 1 - 3, Marcelo Ryan ⚽, Shirai K. (A),
85', Okumura J. ↓, Miguel ↑,
85', Arai T. ↓, Hoshi Y. ↑,
85', Henrique Trevisan ↓, Oka T. ↑,
86', Hashimoto K. ↓, Tokiwa K. ↑,
86', Tawaratsumida K. ↓, Nozawa L. ↑,
90+6', Fujiwara S. 🟨,
90+9', 2 - 3, Danilo Gomes ⚽, Kasai K. (A),
Preview
In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 and 16).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 0.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Niigata may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Niigata could have a small edge in this match.
There are questionable in Tokyo: Baek I.
(Hamstring Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 13:32. (average 0.7:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Niigata won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 4:14. (average 0.4:1.6).
China
Japan
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Yoshimitsu D. (G) 
Geria J. 
Henrique Trevisan 
