Match Info

J1 League - Round 16

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Noevir Stadium (Kobe)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	AbemaTV, DAZN Japan


	Vissel Kobe		Fagiano Okayama

	1	X	2
	1.56	3.75	5.5	Watch
	1.65	3.6	5.25
	1.6	3.7	5.3	Watch
	1.66	3.98	5.73
	1.62	3.96	5.51	Watch
	1.6	3.6	5
	1.61	3.78	5.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.65)	3.77 (3.77)	5.4 ↑ (5.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vissel Kobe
57.9%

Draw
24.8%

Fagiano Okayama
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

25%

17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6%

24.7%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vissel Kobe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Fagiano Okayama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vissel Kobe than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Vissel Kobe - Fagiano Okayama Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Vissel Kobe will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
71. Gonda S. (G) 24. Sakai G. 4. Yamakawa T. (C) 3. Thuler M. 23. Hirose R. 7. Ideguchi Y. 25. Kuwasaki Y. 41. Nagato K. 11. Muto Y. 5. Goke Y. 10. Osako Y.	52. Hamada T. (G) 6. Omori H. 48. Tatsuta Y. 43. Suzuki Y. 51. Shirai K. 41. Miyamoto E. 5. Ogura K. 88. Yamane T. 27. Kimura T. 8. Esaka A. (C) 98. Werik Popo
Substitutes
16. Caetano 15. Diego 28. Hamasaki K. 44. Hidaka M. 2. Iino N. 29. Komatsu R. 1. Maekawa D. (G) 19. Mitsuta M. 13. Sasaki D.	4. Abe K. 45. Browne N. 9. Leo Gaucho 99. Lucao 28. Matsumoto M. 1. Moser L. (G) 66. Nishikawa J. 17. Sueyoshi R. 7. Takeuchi R.
Coaches
Skibbe M.	Kiyama T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
28', 0 - 1, Suzuki Y. ⚽, Esaka A. (A),
43', 0 - 2, Esaka A. ⚽, Shirai K. (A),
44', Werik Popo 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Werik Popo ↓, Lucao ↑,
46', Yamakawa T. ↓, Diego ↑,
46', Nagato K. ↓, Sasaki D. ↑,
46', Goke Y. ↓, Caetano ↑,
67', Hirose R. ↓, Hamasaki K. ↑,
72', Ideguchi Y. ↓, Komatsu R. ↑,
78', Esaka A. ↓, Sueyoshi R. ↑,
85', Shirai K. ↓, Abe K. ↑,
89', 0 - 3, Kimura T. ⚽, Sueyoshi R. (A),
90+2', Kimura T. ↓, Leo Gaucho ↑,
90+2', Yamane T. ↓, Takeuchi R. ↑,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 15th place)).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Vissel Kobe is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Vissel Kobe: Arai S. (Knee Injury) Iwanami T. (Leg Injury)

There are questionable in Vissel Kobe: Ogihara T. (Injury) Tominaga N. (Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Vissel Kobe won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2.7:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Vissel Kobe won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Outrights of Japan J1 League for now

Vissel Kobe: 20.95% Okayama: 1.92%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Vissel Kobe	4	2	1	1	4:3	1	7
13	Okayama	4	1	1	2	3:4	-1	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vissel Kobe
Japan J1 League
06.05.26	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Vissel Kobe	1:2 penalties ✺
02.05.26	Gamba Osaka - Vissel Kobe	5:0 ✺
29.04.26	Vissel Kobe - Cerezo Osaka	0:1 penalties ✺
AFC Champions League
20.04.26	Vissel Kobe - Al-Ahli Jeddah	1:2 ✺
16.04.26	Al-Sadd - Vissel Kobe	3:4 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLLLW
- Fagiano Okayama
Japan J1 League
06.05.26	V-Varen Nagasaki - Fagiano Okayama	2:1 ✺
01.05.26	Fagiano Okayama - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1:0 ✺
29.04.26	Nagoya Grampus - Fagiano Okayama	1:2 penalties ✺
25.04.26	Fagiano Okayama - Avispa Fukuoka	2:0 ✺
19.04.26	Gamba Osaka - Fagiano Okayama	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
05.04.26	Fagiano Okayama - Vissel Kobe	1:4
20.07.25	Fagiano Okayama - Vissel Kobe	1:2
03.05.25	Vissel Kobe - Fagiano Okayama	2:0

Vissel Kobe - Fagiano Okayama: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide